Future Timeline

Yuli Ban wrote: ↑Sun Mar 26, 2023 5:02 pm Bucking popular consensus, I'm not 100% convinced LLMs are the direct path towards AGI, only pseudo-AGI.

Yuli Ban wrote: ↑Sun Mar 26, 2023 5:02 pm Bucking popular consensus, I'm not 100% convinced LLMs are the direct path towards AGI, only pseudo-AGI. I think they're the central nervous system of it, but there's still something else that we need to get to the promised land. We might be hearing more about what that something is in the next few months.

Geordi Rose is the CEO of Sanctuary AI, which has about $100 million in funding. They have deployed humanoid robots into actual commercial retail stores under a test program. During a week-long pilot test, the store, owned by retail chain Canada Tire Corporation (CTC), saw its mechanical intern handle 110 different retail-related activities in the front and back of the store. These included picking and packing merchandise, sales floor replenishment, cleaning, tagging, labeling, store display compliance, and folding – tasks that previously had been demonstrated only in a Sanctuary AI lab set up to mirror the store.

superfishy wrote: ↑Fri Mar 31, 2023 9:57 am The RLHF methodology of OpenAI doesn't seem like a very elegant path to AGI. Somewhat akin to how fusion power will ultimately come from making steam to spin a turbine lol. Either way I'm excited and more than a little scared about the future of AI and how fast its seeming to come upon us.

I have a degree in history and wrote a paper on the microhistory of average citizens during the industrial revolution and how oblivious they were in the moment to the vast changes approaching society as a result. We are in one of those revolutions now and its quite exciting, though I'd be surprised if society 20-30 years from now resembles anything to the current paradigm. Technological change is far outpacing the ability for governments and economies to adapt and for the first time I'm questioning if we will be able to handle it. I'm generally not a pessimistic person but I'd say the chance of a societal collapse in the next couple of decades isn't as unlikely as I'd like it to be. As a result of this, I've officially stopped contributing to my 401k . Societal collapse or no, I'm convinced by the time I'm of retirement age things will be a lot different..