Future Timeline

NEW DELHI (AP) — U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called senior officials in India and Pakistan in an effort to defuse the crisis that followed last week’s deadly attack in Kashmir, the State Department said.

Rubio urged Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar to de-escalate tensions on Wednesday.

India has vowed to punish Pakistan after accusing it of backing the attack, which Islamabad denies. The nuclear-armed rivals have since expelled each other’s diplomats and citizens, ordered the border shut and closed their airspace to each other. New Delhi has suspended a crucial water-sharing treaty with Islamabad.

Soldiers on each side have also exchanged fire along their de facto border, driving tensions between India and Pakistan to their highest point in recent years.

(Agence France-Presse) India fired missiles at Pakistani territory early on Wednesday in a major escalation of tensions between the nuclear-armed rivals, as Islamabad vowed retaliation.

The Indian government said it had attacked nine sites, describing them as “precision strikes at terrorist camps” in Pakistan-administered Kashmir, days after it blamed Islamabad for a deadly attack on the Indian side of the contested region.

Pakistan’s army said three locations had been targeted, citing two in Pakistani-run Kashmir and one in Bahawalpur, a city in the country’s most populous province of Punjab, bordering India.

Loud explosions were heard in Pakistani-run Kashmir and Punjab.

“We will retaliate at the time of our choosing,” said Pakistani military spokesman Lieutenant-General Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry, calling the strikes a “heinous provocation”.

(BBC) It’s a dramatic escalation between the two nuclear-armed rivals.

Even though there were expectations that India could launch some sort of military action, the intensity of the missile attacks inside Pakistan had surprised many.

India says that some of the places it was bombing were linked to militants, and they were not targeting Pakistani military sites.

Pakistan has vowed retaliation, and the nature and targets of this will determine Delhi’s counter-reaction.

Both countries think they can manage escalation, but tensions are running high and it’s difficult to predict the course of any military conflict.

A nuclear war between India and Pakistan could, over the span of less than a week, kill 50-125 million people—more than the death toll during all six years of World War II, according to new research.

A new study conducted by researchers from CU Boulder and Rutgers University examines how such a hypothetical future conflict would have consequences that could ripple across the globe. Today, India and Pakistan each have about 150 nuclear warheads at their disposal, and that number is expected to climb to more than 200 by 2025.

The picture is grim. That level of warfare wouldn’t just kill millions of people locally, said LASP atmospheric scientist Brian Toon, who led the research published today in the journal Science Advances. It might also plunge the entire planet into a severe cold spell, possibly with temperatures not seen since the last Ice Age.

In addition to direct death and destruction, the authors say that firestorms following the bombings would launch some 5 million tons of soot toward the stratosphere. There, they say, it would spread globally and remain, absorbing sunlight and lowering global mean temperatures by about 1.8 degrees C (3.25 F) for at least five years. They project that this would in turn cause production of the world’s four main cereal crops—maize, wheat, soybeans and rice—to plummet an average 11 percent over that period, with tapering effects lasting another five to 10 years.

“Even this regional, limited war would have devastating indirect implications worldwide,” said Jonas Jägermeyr, a postdoctoral scientist at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies who led the study. “It would exceed the largest famine in documented history.”

According to the study, crops would be hardest hit in the northerly breadbasket regions of the United States, Canada, Europe, Russia and China—but southerly regions would suffer much more hunger. That is because many developed nations in the north now produce huge surpluses, and export much of them to nations in the Global South that are barely able to feed themselves. If these surpluses were to dry up, the effects would ripple through the global trade system. The authors estimate that some 70 largely poor countries with a total population of 1.3 billion people would see food supplies drop more than 20 percent.

zzz wrote: ↑Tue May 06, 2025 11:45 pm Just a skirmish or -limited- conflict only.

weatheriscool wrote: ↑Tue May 06, 2025 11:52 pm

zzz wrote: ↑Tue May 06, 2025 11:45 pm Just a skirmish or -limited- conflict only.

Depends on how far the two sides push it. We will find out in the next 12-24 hours one way or another...

Three civilians in Indian-administered Kashmir were killed in shelling by Pakistani troops from across the border, according to the Indian Army.

The Pakistan Army “resorted to arbitrary firing and artillery shelling” from posts across the Line of Control that divides the disputed territory of Kashmir, the Indian Army said in a statement.

“Indian Army are responding in proportionate manner,” the statement said.

Five Indian Air Force jets and one drone were shot down by Pakistan during India’s attack, according to Pakistani security sources.

In a statement released to reporters, the security sources said three French-made Rafale jets, one MiG-29 and one SU-30 fighter jets were downed “in self-defense.” An Indian Heron drone was also shot down, they added.

A second senior Pakistani government official confirmed the same list of downed aircraft.

The briefing did not say precisely where the jets were downed or how.

Pakistani officials had earlier briefed that they shot down three aircraft and a drone.

CNN cannot independently verify the claims and has reached out to the Indian government for a response.

Eight people were killed, including children, and 35 injured, Pakistan’s military spokesperson said after India launched military strikes on targets in Pakistan early Wednesday.

India targeted six locations with 24 strikes in both Pakistan and Pakistan administered-Kashmir, spokesperson Lt. Gen. Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry said in a news conference early Wednesday.

Previously, Pakistan said five locations were struck. India has said nine sites in total were targeted.

Five people were killed, including a 3-year-old girl, in Ahmadpur East, in Pakistan’s Punjab Province, Chaudhry said. One man was also killed in Punjab’s Muridke, a city near Lahore.

In Pakistan administered-Kashmir, a 16-year-old girl and 18-year-old man were killed in the city of Kotli, he added.

Mosques were targeted in the strikes, according to the military spokesperson.

CNN cannot independently verify the claim.