2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

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U.S. Sen. Ben Cardin won’t seek reelection, creating a scramble to fill a vacancy in the closely divided Senate.

Read more: https://www.baltimoresun.com/politics/b ... g=55989644

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TX-SEN: Allred set to launch Texas Senate run against Cruz

Democratic Rep. Colin Allred is planning to announce a run against Sen. Ted Cruz as soon as this week, according to two people familiar with his plans.

A former NFL player-turned-civil rights attorney, Allred has been quietly prepping for a run against Cruz for months. During his two successful reelection bids since ousting an entrenched incumbent in 2018, Allred has proven a prolific fundraiser. He’s well-liked within the Democratic Caucus and has also picked up positions in leadership, now serving as a member of House Minority Whip Katherine Clark’s (D-Mass.) team and as previously part of then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) expansive leadership team.

Allred won his suburban Dallas House seat in 2018, unseating Rep. Pete Sessions — a former House Rules Committee and National Republican Congressional Committee chair who later returned to the House after running in a different district.

After 2020’s redistricting, Allred’s district became safely Democratic, meaning he could likely hold his current seat for as long as he chooses. His decision to give it up to run for Senate instead, in a state where his party has struggled to win statewide, sets up a potentially high-profile general election race next fall.

Cruz, now serving his second term in the Senate, faced a tougher-than-expected challenge from then-Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) in 2018. Though O’Rourke lost by about 2.6 percentage points, the former House member developed a national profile that he parlayed into an unsuccessful 2020 presidential run.

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/0 ... z-00094674

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WA Gov. Jay Inslee won't seek reelection for fourth term
Source: Seattle Times

Gov. Jay Inslee will not run for a fourth term, he announced Monday.

Inslee, a Democrat elected in 2012, previously said he was unsure whether he’d seek an unprecedented fourth term as Washington governor.

“Serving the people as governor of Washington state has been my greatest honor. During a decade of dynamic change, we’ve made Washington a beacon for progress for the nation. I’m ready to pass the torch,” Inslee said in a statement.

Read more: https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-ne ... ourth-term

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'2024 Could Be More Like 2016': Journalist Urges Democrats to Revisit Their 'Formula'
by Alex Henderson
May 1, 2023

Introduction:

(Alternet) Many Never Trump conservatives, hoping to see President Joe Biden reelected in 2024, have been warning him against going too far to the left. Biden's path to reelection, they argue, is appealing to the Democratic Party base but also winning over independents, moderates and Never Trumpers who dislike the extremes of the far-right MAGA movement.

But progressive journalist David Sirota, who served as a presidential campaign speechwriter for Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont), has a different warning in an op-ed published by The Guardian on May 1. Sirota cautions that a Democratic "formula" focused on "centrism" won't necessarily be the key to getting Biden reelected.

"In 2016, the Senate Democratic leader, Chuck Schumer, publicly bragged that the formula would result in flipping enough moderate voters to secure a victory — just before the formula's epic failure handed Donald Trump the presidency," Sirota explains. "Four years later, though, the formula seemed to work; Democrats united to quash the primary against the quasi-incumbent Joe Biden, and Trump's horrific first term allowed Biden to eke out a win with a flaccid campaign based on a meaningless platitude about 'the soul of America.'"

Sirota adds, "Now, Democrats seem intent on using the formula again — only this time, it's even more risky because this is not a race against a sitting Republican president."

After Biden officially announced his 2024 reelection campaign, Sanders was quick to give him an enthusiastic endorsement and warn that putting Trump back in the White House — assuming Trump is the Republican nominee — would be a disaster for the United States. But Sirota has doubts that disdain for Trump will be enough for Biden.

Read more here: https://www.alternet.org/2024-could-be-like-2016/

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Echelon Insights: Biden +3/5

Biden (D) 47%
Trump (R) 42%

Biden (D) 45%
DeSants (R) 42%

https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/w ... TERNAL.pdf

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CBS/YouGov: Trump +36
Trump 58%
DeSantis 22%
Pence 5%
Ramaswamy 5%
Haley 4%
Christie 2%
Elder 2%
Scott 1%
Hutchinson 1%

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2024-presi ... 023-05-01/

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NV (Noble Predictive/NV Indy): Biden +8/+1

Biden (D) 48%
Trump (R) 40%

Biden (D) 43%
DeSantis (R) 42%

https://thenevadaindependent.com/articl ... -in-nevada

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MD-SEN: Maryland county councilmember launches campaign for Cardin's seat

Montgomery County Councilmember Will Jawando announced on Tuesday that he’s running for Sen. Ben Cardin’s (D-Md.) seat, becoming the first Democrat to officially wade in Maryland’s U.S. Senate race.

“There’s a big lie in America, but it’s not about Donald Trump or his delusions that he won the election,” Jawando said in a one-minute campaign ad. “The real big lie — the one you feel every day that pits neighbors against neighbors – is the one that says for me to do well, you have to do worse. That we can’t take care of each other and still prosper. That if some people get ahead, everyone else has to be left behind.”

“Well, I spent the last four years on the Montgomery County Council, serving over a million Marylanders fighting to get rents down, build more affordable housing, and take on racial injustice to prove that lie wrong,” he continued. Jawando said he’s running “because I believe we can build a shared prosperity in Maryland that lifts everyone up. And that really would be big.”

Jawando’s Senate campaign launch comes one day after The Baltimore Sun first reported Cardin would not be seeking reelection. Several Democrats that have been widely floated as potential Senate contenders to replace Cardin include Reps. David Trone (D-Md.) and Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks (D).

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3 ... l-jawando/

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Nebraska Democrats expecting 2024 gains after strong showing in local races

Decisive Democratic wins in Lincoln, Nebraska have left Democrats optimistic about their chances in some races next year.Rep. Don Bacon, a Republican whose Biden-won district covers Douglas and Saunders counties in the Omaha metro area, is among Nebraska Democrats’ top targets.Some Republicans blame their electoral shortcomings on social issues, particularly abortion. “This made the message clear to me how critical abortion will be in 2024,” Republican state Rep. Merv Riepe said. “We must embrace the future of reproductive rights.”

A decisive win by Democrats in hotly-contested local races in Lincoln could be indicative of the party’s chances next year, including in a presidential election where Nebraska’s Omaha-centered 2nd Congressional District has twice given an electoral vote to Democratic presidential candidates.

Nebraska and Maine are the only two states that allow their electoral votes to be split in presidential elections. That system has confounded Nebraska Republicans, who have been unable to force the state into a winner-take-all system since Barack Obama became the first presidential contender to shave off one of Nebraska’s five electoral votes in 2008. It happened again in 2020, when President Joe Biden captured Nebraska’s 2nd District electoral vote.

Democratic Party leaders see an opportunity to capitalize on Republicans’ hard shift to the right, particularly on religious and culture war issues — including the recent push across red states to target the transgender and LGBTQ+ community members, ban books from schools and libraries and vastly restrict abortion access. Those efforts are unpopular with the majority of voters, Nebraska Democratic Party Chairwoman Jane Kleeb said Wednesday.

https://wfin.com/fox-political-news/neb ... cal-races/

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AZ PREDICTIVE R PRIMARY TRUMP CRUSHES DeSantis 49/21



H2H
Trump 59
DeSantis 41

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AZ PREDICTIVE R PRIMARY TRUMP CRUSHES DeSantis 49/21



H2H
Trump 59
DeSantis 41

If you're De Santis and seeing these numbers are you still running? When you could sit it out until '28 and be the prospective frontrunner and not get involved in a bare knuckle fight with the Donald

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