New predictions for the timeline

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wjfox
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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2054-2055 – The UK's population is peaking at 71.8 million

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/UN-p ... RV~GRC~GBR
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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3183 - Zeitpyramide (time pyramid) in Wemding, Germany is completed

https://www.wemding.de/sehenswertes/zeitpyramide-10278/
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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I think I've worked out three of the main predictions I want for 2050:

- Net zero is reached by the majority of countries
Mainly due to (exponential) faster-than-expected growth in clean tech, and a general collapse in fossil fuel demand due to escalating climate crisis.

- The world's political centre has shifted eastwards
However, China's influence will be less than expected, due to demographic and other issues.

- AI-augmented governments
We won't have AI Presidents or robot politicians anytime soon, but Super AI will be advising leaders on the best courses of action. It will analyse stupendously vast amounts of data with quantum computers, and then simulate the likely outcomes before a policy is enacted.

Not sure what I'll do for the 2060s... any ideas??
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

Post by erowind »

At a glance, change/delete the 2061 prediction that the UK's population will reach 80 million given the new predicted peak in 2054-2055
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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2025 – The first private mission to Venus

https://www.space.com/rocket-lab-privat ... layed-2025


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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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Some really interesting predictions here, regarding successor(s) to the Large Hadron collider, stretching as far as the 2070s.

We've already covered the Very Large Hadron Collider, but it seems that will need renaming, and moving from 2035 to 2045.

There's another entry that could be added for 2063, and then the 2070s:

https://physicsworld.com/a/cern-physici ... der-plans/


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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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Here's another good reference for the waste heat problem mentioned a few months back.

^ I know that prediction is for 2400, but that's describing the ultimate result, if nothing is done.

i.e. waste heat would likely become a problem long before then:

"During the past two centuries at least (and likely for much longer), our yearly energy use has doubled roughly every 30 to 50 years. Our energy use seems to be growing exponentially, a trend that shows every sign of continuing. We keep finding new things to do and almost everything we invent requires more and more energy: consider the enormous energy demands of cryptocurrency mining or the accelerating energy requirements of AI.

If this historical trend continues, scientists estimate waste heat will pose a problem in roughly 150-200 years that is every bit as serious as the current problem of global warming from greenhouse gases."
https://aeon.co/essays/theres-a-deeper- ... al-warming


One possible solution might involve relocating vast portions of industrial activity from Earth to space/the Moon. Which could tie in with our prediction for lunar cities in circa 2170 (already on the timeline). So I could expand on this a bit, perhaps covering the period up to 2220.
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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Couple of predictions for 2066.

Currently, we don't have anything for that year, which means I could split the 2060s decade into individual years (making it nicer to browse through and faster to load).


2066 – The ozone layer has fully recovered

This prediction has changed before. It's currently listed at 2060, so will need moving again.

https://news.sky.com/story/earths-prote ... n-12783268


2066 – 1,000th anniversary of the Norman Conquest of England in 1066

This event might be commemorated in the UK and elsewhere. Prince William (presumably King William V by then) will be 84 years old.
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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2031 – Generative AI is a trillion-dollar industry

16 times bigger than today.

https://www.artisana.ai/articles/genera ... -estimates


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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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2027 - The Hyper-Kamiokande neutrino observatory begins operations

https://www.j-parc.jp/c/en/topics/2020/02/12000416.html
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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3500 AD – Marie Curie's notebook and other belongings are no longer radioactive

https://www.sciencealert.com/these-pers ... -500-years

Image: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File ... 021265.jpg


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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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Well I guess this means we can remove our Peak Phosphorous prediction for 2033...

https://www.euractiv.com/section/energy ... in-norway/

:)
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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2425- After 400 years, school funding increase for Wisconsin's public school ends.

https://apnews.com/article/evers-veto-4 ... 23356f770d

Just imagining the god-humans featured in FT's far future predictions just looking at this as some fun trivia.
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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I've added some new entries for 2002. Will finish the rest tomorrow. I have another 3 or 4 I want to include.
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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250,000,000 AD – Hypercanes are frequent on Earth

Source is a National Geographic documentary called 'Naked Science: Supercontinent', at around 25:30: https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1qb411a7tu/

- The future supercontinent, Pangaea Ultima, will have storms much more powerful than those of today.
- Much of the surface of the Earth will get above 50°C, and will be 50°C as a monthly average. This will be due to increased solar energy as the Sun ages and increased carbon dioxide content (volcanism increasing due to the continents colliding into a supercontinent).
- This high temperature will fuel enormous storms called hypercanes, much larger than modern hurricanes, and reaching into the stratosphere.
- Creatures which can survive being pummeled by the oceans will become dominant. This would include organisms like crabs: with adaptations such as hard shells, ability to survive out of water, and ability to lock their gills up to become a self-contained environment.

From Wikipedia:
Hypercanes would have wind speeds of over 800 kilometres per hour (500 mph), potentially gusting to 970 km/h (600 mph), and would also have a central pressure of less than 700 hectopascals (20.67 inHg), giving them an enormous lifespan of at least several weeks. This extreme low pressure could also support massive storm systems roughly the size of North America.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypercane

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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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World’s First Floating Underwater Tunnel To Be Built In Norway 2035 – Cost £25 Billion!!

https://engineeringdiscoveries.com/worl ... 5-billion/
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."

-H.G Wells.
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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Time_Traveller wrote: Sat Jul 15, 2023 7:01 am World’s First Floating Underwater Tunnel To Be Built In Norway 2035 – Cost £25 Billion!!

https://engineeringdiscoveries.com/worl ... 5-billion/
Already covered here - https://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcent ... way-tunnel
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Re: New predictions for the timeline

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wjfox wrote: Sat Jul 15, 2023 8:20 am
Time_Traveller wrote: Sat Jul 15, 2023 7:01 am World’s First Floating Underwater Tunnel To Be Built In Norway 2035 – Cost £25 Billion!!

https://engineeringdiscoveries.com/worl ... 5-billion/
Already covered here - https://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcent ... way-tunnel
Haven't read 2035 for quite awhile so, I may have missed it the first time round.
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."

-H.G Wells.
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