2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

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OR: Early count shows Rep. Paul Holvey (D) surviving recall with 90% of the vote
EUGENE, Ore. — The Lane County Elections Office is counting ballots Tuesday night for the recall election of District 8 Representative Paul Holvey.

The first unofficial results were released at 8 p.m.

90% of the 11,226 ballots counted (10,104 votes) are saying NO to recalling Rep. Holvey.

10% have voted YES (1,122 votes).


https://nbc16.com/news/local/paul-holve ... 10-03-2023

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YouGov/Economist: Trump +45
Trump 58%
DeSantis 13%
Haley 7%
Ramaswamy 4%
Pence 3%
Scott 2%
Christie 1%
Burgum 1%

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/d ... YxhZlV.pdf

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Kentucky 2023 Poll: Beshear Holds 16-Point Lead Over Cameron in Gubernatorial Election

A new Emerson College Polling survey of Kentucky voters finds incumbent Democratic Governor Andy Beshear with 49% support in the upcoming November gubernatorial election, while a third of voters (33%) plan to support Republican Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Five percent plan to vote for someone else, while 13% are undecided.

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/kentu ... -election/

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Iowa Democrats Plan Presidential Caucuses in January
by Rox Laird
October 6, 2023

Introduction:

DES MOINES, Iowa (Courthouse News) — As they face losing their first place in line for the 2024 presidential primary cycle, based on the national party’s new calendar, Iowa Democrats may have a way to salvage their precinct party caucuses in January without running afoul of national Democratic leadership.

State party officials on Friday unveiled a plan to hold traditional Democratic precinct caucuses to conduct party business on Jan. 15 — the same day as Iowa Republicans — but without the presidential delegate selection process. That would be done separately, by mail-in ballot, with results announced on Super Tuesday in March.

Iowa Democrats’ plan still needs approval from the national party. And it will need the blessing of New Hampshire, which zealously guards its place as the first-in-the-nation presidential primary by vowing to move back its primary if any other state holds a primary (as opposed to a party caucus) earlier in the presidential election cycle.

It appeared Friday that both hurdles could be cleared.

“We believe this delegate selection plan is a compromise and meets the requirements set forth by this committee, complies with Iowa law, and most importantly sets Iowa Democrats up to win in 2024,” Iowa Democratic Party Chair Rita Hart said in a letter to the national party's committee on rules and bylaws.

Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/iowa-d ... january/

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Morning Consult: Trump +49
Trump: 61%
DeSantis: 12%
Ramaswamy: 9%
Haley: 6%
Pence: 5%
Christie: 3%
Scott: 2%
Burgum: 1%
Hutchinson: 0%
Hurd: 0%
Someone Else: 1%
*Oct. 6-8, 2023

https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers ... ganic_post

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Nevada (CNN/SSRS): Trump +52
Trump 65%
DeSantis 13%
Haley 6%
Ramaswamy 4%
Pence 3%
Christie 2%
Scott 2%
Burgum 1%
Elder 1%

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/ ... nevada.pdf

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Former Baseball Player Steve Garvey Enters California Senate Race
by Hillel Aron
October 10, 2023

Introduction:

(Courthouse News) — Former baseball player Steve Garvey, who played first base for both the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, announced on Tuesday that he would run as a Republican for California's open seat in the U.S. Senate.

In a short video announcing his candidacy, Garvey called California "a state that I believed at one time was the heartbeat of America, but now is just a murmur." Other videos on his website offered tepid criticism of "career politicians" and "misguided laws," and suggested his campaign would be a centrist one aimed at capturing independent and right-leaning Democrats as well as Republicans.

“I never played for Democrats or Republicans or independents,” Garvey says in the video. "I played for all of you."

Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/former- ... e-race/

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CNN: Trump by 41
New CNN Poll:

Trump 58
Ron! 17
Haley 8
Pence 5
Ramaswamy 4
Christie 2
Scott 2
Burgum 1


https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/12/politics ... index.html

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BREAKING: President Biden’s campaign raises a whopping $71.2 million in Q3 — $26 million MORE than Donald Trump and nearly the same as Trump, Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley combined.The campaign added 240,000 new donors since April who did not contribute in 2020.The average grassroots contribution was $40 and 97% of all donations were under $200.

https://www.threads.net/@meidastouch/post/Cya-WEjrkPL