2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[spryfusion]

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Democrat John Mannion Unseats Representative Brandon Williams in New York's 22nd District
by Luke Parsnow
November 6, 2024

Introduction:

(New York State of Politics) Democratic state Sen. John Mannion will win the race for New York’s 22nd Congressional District, the Associated Press has declared, unseating Republican Rep. Brandon Williams and becoming the first Democrat to win the Syracuse-based district since 2012.
The two-term state legislator was leading the congressman 54% to 46%, according to the latest unofficial results from AP. Rep. Williams called Mannion to concede.

Mannion’s victory reinforces the expectation of Cook Political Report, the independent nonpartisan index and analysis group, which earlier this year labeled Williams one of the most vulnerable House Republicans in the nation and on Election Day rated the race in the “lean Democrat” column. The 22nd District’s redrawn boundaries in 2024 are perhaps the most different in the state from two years ago, making it slightly more Democratic.

That’s not to say it was an easy road for Mannion. Despite what seems like should be an advantage, Democrats here have been burned over the last few cycles. A white whale of sorts for the party, the district that includes the city of Syracuse has had a Democratic representative only four years out of the last 44, despite a slight Democratic voter advantage and despite voting for Democratic presidential candidates for more than three decades. The district voted for Joe Biden in 2020 by 7 points.

Williams won the district by 2 points in 2022, cementing that it would be one of the most closely watched races this year with heavy investments from both major parties since control of the chamber was on the line.

Read more here: https://nystateofpolitics.com/state-of ... y-22-race

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Lauren Boebert Wins Re-Election in Colorado
by Simmone Shah
November 5, 2024

Introduction:

(Time) Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert has won her congressional race in Colorado's 4th district.

The controversial rightwing lawmaker, who was first elected to Congress in 2020, won the race against Jeff Hurd, according to the Associated Press.

Boebert will begin her third term as a Colorado representative, but this time for a different district. She announced at the end of 2023 that she would switch districts after winning her seat in the 3rd district by just 546 votes in 2022, putting herself in a safer race to stay in Congress. The 4th district went for Donald Trump by 15 points in 2020.

The move proved a successful strategy, ensuring another term for Boebert despite a series of controversies in the run-up to the election. She made headlines in September 2023 after she was removed from a Denver theater at a showing of ‘Beetlejuice’ for allegedly “vaping, singing [and] causing a disturbance.” She was also granted a temporary restraining order against her ex-husband in February. Boebert nodded to the controversies in a video announcing her plans to run in the 4th District, saying that it will be a “fresh start” for her following a difficult year.

“Since the first day I ran for public office I promised I would do whatever it takes to stop the socialists and communists from taking over our country,” Boebert said when she announced her plan to run in the 4th District.

Read more here: https://time.com/7172832/lauren-boeber ... congress/

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Democrats Gain Congressional Seat in Louisiana
by Caitlin Yilek
November 7, 2024

Introduction:

(CBS) Democrat Cleo Fields won Louisiana's 6th District, CBS News projected. It's a pick up for Democrats.

The incumbent, GOP Rep. Garret Graves, did not seek reelection after redistricting.

Fields has secured more than 50% of the vote in the general election, which is necessary to avoid a runoff. The state does not have a partisan primary.

The seat is the third gain for Democrats, so far. They need a net gain of four seats to secure the majority. But, according to CBS News projections,

Republicans have flipped four seats. More than a dozen contentious races are still undecided.

Read more here: https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/h ... lts-2024

[Jakob]

Could it be...that the Wicked Witch of California (Kamala) has been forced to lift her evil spell on Brandon? Now that the great wizard Donald the Orange has vanquished the Witch-Queen, her corrupt magic is fading and Brandon's soul has been saved. Perhaps we will even see MAGA Brandon soon!

[weatheriscool]

[caltrek]

Could it be...that the Wicked Witch of California (Kamala) has been forced to lift her evil spell on Brandon? Now that the great wizard Donald the Orange has vanquished the Witch-Queen, her corrupt magic is fading and Brandon's soul has been saved. Perhaps we will even see MAGA Brandon soon!

Another shallow attempt to portray conflict where there is none. When Harris assumed the role of candidate the polls showed her doing better than Biden. It just wasn’t good enough to beat Trump. She ran a flawless campaign. It was just that the information silo that includes Fox and Sky News was too big and too powerful to overcome. I suspect both Biden and Obama realize this.

[raklian]

So this means if Trump wants to implement an extreme agenda, he won't get it. If the above predictions for the House are accurate, the Republicans have a narrower majority than they had in the previous Congress. The more extreme the proposals, the less likely they'll pass.

[caltrek]

Congress’ Longest Serving Woman May Eke Out a Win
by Rachel Barber
November 8, 2024

Introduction:

(USA Today) Rep. Marcy Kaptur, D-Ohio, has been in Congress for 41 years. As the legislature’s longest-serving woman, the 78-year-old Democrat is looking to win another term by defeating her Republican opponent, Derek Merrin.

Theirs is one of the closest matchups left to be called. As of Friday morning, Kaptur was ahead by 0.3 percentage points with 99% of votes in.

Read more here: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/po ... 25967007/

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Representative Don Bacon Keeps His Seat in 'Blue Dot' Nebraska
by Savannah Kuchar and Maya Marchel Hoff
November 8, 2024

Introduction:

(USA Today) Republican Rep. Don Bacon will serve a fifth term in Congress representing Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district, according to the Associated Press, which called his race at 6:11 p.m. EST Friday. He beat Democratic challenger and state Sen. Tony Vargas by 2.4 points.

Bacon’s margin of victory in 2024 is just below his win two years ago, when he also faced Vargas and won by 2.6 percentage points. In this year’s May primary, he fended off hardline conservative and Omaha businessman Dan Frei, who had the backing of Nebraska’s state party.

The district, encompassing Omaha and area west of the city, earned the nickname “blue dot” after going for Biden by over six points in 2020.

Read more here: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/po ... 5967007/

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

Harris was always a joke. Biden would have been stronger...Period

[caltrek]

More on that: https://www.klcc.org/politics-governmen ... -district

[caltrek]

Democrat Jacky Rosen Wins Re-Election in Close Nevada Senate Race
by Theo Berman
November 9, 2024

Introduction:

(Newsweek) Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen won re-election in Nevada, even as President-elect Donald Trump expanded his Electoral College victory by flipping the state red.

Rosen, who was first elected to the Senate in 2018, narrowly defeated Republican challenger Sam Brown by 1.4 percentage points. The Associated Press called the race for Rosen at 12:15 a.m. ET on Saturday.

Rosen campaigned heavily on abortion rights and positioned herself as a non-ideological politician, a formula that also worked for the state's senior senator, Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto, in her own re-election bid two years ago.

Read more here: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politic ... bArticle

Edit: More on that from Mother Jones: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/20 ... lection/

[firestar464]

WSJ- Harris Fundraising Fine Print Signals Recount Effort

https://archive.ph/kB28J

TBH, I dunno what this is for. She got crushed badly in more ways than one. Could it be for downballot races? I really don't know how this is gonna work

[weatheriscool]

CA27 George Whitesides pulls ahead of Mike Garcia!

This is a huge pickup!

About 20% left to count but will be heavily Democratic.

Whitesides (D) 50.40%
Garcia (R)49.60%

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... se-27.html

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[Bird]

An absolute thumping.
With how off my predictions for this election were, I reckon I'm done trying to predict them for the foreseeable future. Plenty of polls did show Trump in the lead, yes, but I don't think I would ever have expected such a decisive victory.

[Cyber_Rebel]

Harris was always a joke. Biden would have been stronger...Period

Or it would've simply been worse without a change in outcome. Really, at this point I have doubts even Bernie Sanders would've been that much different aside from the debates.

Biden was elected in an anti-incumbency era same as now, and it's very possible without the Covid-19 pandemic Trump would've been re-elected in 2020 anyways. America is just not Canada or the EU, and the electorate has very different priorities, or at least ways in seeing the world.

This might've been posted before, but more on the anti-incumbency sentiment globally: Donald Trump's Big Election Win Is Part of a Major Global Trend

(At least now the "keys" person can finally just retire)