2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[wjfox]

[spryfusion]

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[Time_Traveller]

Deep-red 'Republican stronghold' thought to be an 'easy win for Trump' is now a swing state

July 30, 2024

Former President Donald Trump's path to winning a 270-vote Electoral College majority is now much harder with Vice President Kamala Harris' recent emergence as the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Newsweek reported Tuesday that one recent poll conducted by the University of North Florida (UNF) Public Opinion Research Lab showed that Trump is currently ahead of Harris by seven points. But UNF political science professor Michael Binder, who is the poll's director, suggested that Harris may be at her floor, and Trump may be at his ceiling.

"It's not a huge surprise to see Trump ahead in his home state of Florida, which he won by three points in 2020," Binder told the Palm Beach Post. "With Harris just entering the race, enthusiasm amongst her supporters has livened up what was once thought to be an easy win for Trump in Florida."

Newsweek's Matthew Impelli observed that even though Florida swung from George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 to Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, it has since become a "Republican stronghold" after Trump won the state in 2016 and 2020. Florida's status as a competitive battleground was thought to be over after the Sunshine State reelected far-right Republican governor Ron DeSantis in a landslide in 2022, as well as sending Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida) back to Washington for a third term that year.

But Florida being back in play in 2024 is significant, as its 30 electoral votes going to Democrats would mean that Harris has a much more varied path to 270. Democrats could theoretically lose Michigan and Wisconsin — two of the three so-called "blue wall" states — as well as other swing states like Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, and still win an electoral vote majority.

https://www.alternet.org/deep-red-repub ... tronghold/

[wjfox]

[Time_Traveller]

Just hope that is enough for her to win the presidency and enough voters to back her on voting day.

[caltrek]

Trump Forces Out Project 2025 Mastermind
by Roger Sollenberger
Updated July 30, 2024

Introduction:

(Daily Beast) The Trump campaign forced the architect of the ultraconservative Project 2025 manifesto out of his job on Tuesday as it sought political cover from a controversy dogging Republicans, the Daily Beast can report exclusively.

Trump campaign manager Chris LaCivita “put the screws” to mastermind Paul Dans in an effort to force him out and shut down the right-wing shop behind Proejct 2025, a sprawling blueprint that sought to overhaul the federal government and implement an array of far-right policies for a potential second Trump administration, a well-placed source told the Daily Beast.

The president of Heritage Foundation, the conservative think tank that employed Dans and conceived of the controversial handbook, fired back on X, formerly Twitter, that Project 2025 is going nowhere.

"Project 2025 will continue our efforts to build a personnel apparatus for policymakers of all levels—federal, state, and local," Heritage President Kevin Roberts said, adding that he was "extremely grateful" for Dans' work on the policy platform and his "dedication to saving America."

Additional Extract:

There’s just one glaring problem with the Trump camp’s attempt to distance itself from Project 2025: J.D. Vance’s fingerprints are all over the right-wing project.

Read more here: https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-ca ... ?ref=home

[wjfox]

[weatheriscool]

The choice of Vance may have ended Trumps campaign.

[weatheriscool]

[Vakanai]

^ I was about to post this, but you beat me to it.

This guy is doing so much damage to Trump's campaign, I can't believe they'll keep him on. What an absolute doofus.

How the hell wasn't he properly vetted?!

Oh so I guess my aunt was really a sociopath for not having kids of her own at home and wasn't one of the most loving people I've ever known...or more likely Vance is the freaking sociopath, or at the very least has some kind of psychosis. There's a lot of people without children who are good, loving, caring people. Don't get me wrong, I love children and have a few in my family, but the presence or absence of children in someone's life doesn't affect the kind of person they are.

That said, I'm glad Vance is saying these things - he's really helping America a lot right now by doing so much damage to Trump's chances. Strangely his insane hatred, bigotry, and probable mental illness is helping save this country from his vile project 2025 plans.

[Cyber_Rebel]

And so, ends the fiction of the GOP being the party of "small government." True libertarians wouldn't give a single damn whether a person has children or not, who they sleep with or why. The Democrats sound unironically more libertarian to me now for this very reason among others, at least socially.

They also likely believe that getting people to have offspring will offset the closing of our borders, despite the soon to be issues which will arise from automation, wealth inequality, and the climate crisis. Closing the borders and stemming immigration is not going to magically make the wages any higher, even worse when said GOP always opposes legislation which would help in this area.

In short, none of it is backed by any kind of science. America is not even in the same position that Japan is currently facing with its aging population. (also a victim of its own success due to its high life expectancy) JD Vance is just a weirdo with weird non-factual claims.

[weatheriscool]

Or what you can wear, do to your body or what to read. IT is insanity!!!

[Time_Traveller]

Atlanta rally: Harris tells Trump to ‘say it to my face’ and challenges him to debate

Wed 31 Jul 2024 02.46 BST

Three weeks ago, the political commentariat was writing off Georgia and talking of narrow pathways for Joe Biden to hold the White House. Georgia was a desert. Tuesday evening, an Atlanta crowd greeted Kamala Harris like she backed up a truck full of sweet tea to that desert.

It’s probably too early – nine days since the president’s withdrawal and the vice-president’s ascension – to know if sentiment in Georgia had shifted enough to justify jubilation. But the crowd in Atlanta treated the new presumptive presidential nominee as a reason to celebrate after months of her quieter campaigning in the city as the vice-presidential nominee.

“As many of you know, before I was elected vice-president … I was an elected attorney general and an elected district attorney,” Harris said after taking the stand. “Hear me when I say, I know Donald Trump’s type, and I have been dealing with people like him my entire career.”

This elicited chants of: “Lock him up!”

Harris addressed a crowd of 10,000 who filled the Georgia State Convocation Center, with people waiting outside for a seat. She touted her prosecution record and referenced Trump’s criminal convictions and the findings of fraud in his businesses.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/art ... anta-rally

[wjfox]

Latest odds from the FT:

https://www.ft.com/content/551536ce-576 ... 96f7149ef3

[wjfox]

[weatheriscool]

[firestar464]

WaPo: How much could Kamala Harris’s 2020 positions cost her?

https://archive.ph/zF3Y9

Honestly not much. These are pretty weak attack points

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2 ... -kamala-h/
https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2 ... atement-t/

Also at least 2 of the claims are false, but WaPo didn't say so. At this point the WaPo is an unreliable source. I feel that we should all stop posting from them at this point

[wjfox]

[weatheriscool]

[wjfox]

Trump Questions Harris’s Black Identity in Combative Interview

July 31, 2024, 3:29 p.m. ET

Former President Donald J. Trump questioned the racial identity of Vice President Kamala Harris during a tense appearance at the National Association of Black Journalists conference in Chicago on Wednesday, asking, “Is she Indian or is she Black?” He falsely claimed that Ms. Harris, who has long identified as Black and attended a historically Black university, used to identify as Indian and then, “all of a sudden, she made a turn, and she became a Black person.”

The White House press secretary, Karine Jean Pierre, called Mr. Trump’s comments “repulsive” and “insulting.” She added, “No one has any right to tell someone who they are.”

Mr. Trump was questioned immediately on his rhetoric about race and complained that he was getting a “very rude introduction.” He was pressed about his fellow Republicans describing Ms. Harris as a “D.E.I. hire” and he peddled several falsehoods about his policy record relating to Black communities.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/31 ... ntial-race