2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[weatheriscool]

8% to the right or more republican so far.

[weatheriscool]

Harris Regains 4 Point Lead in ABC News Poll

Turnout is key. Just 2 percentage points divide Harris and Donald Trump among all registered voters, 49-47%. This goes to a slight Harris advantage among likely voters, 51-47%, with some pro-Harris groups showing a bit more propensity to vote.

Compared with earlier this month, Harris has regained a more customary Democratic advantage among Hispanic people and widened her advantage among suburban women, while remaining strong in core groups including Black people. Trump pushes back in rural areas and among non-college white men and runs competitively among younger men.

Eight percent of adults (and 10% of registered voters) say they've already voted (as of early last week); a disproportionately Democratic group, they went 62-33% for Harris.

This poll finds a notable shift in vote preferences among Hispanic people, 12% of likely voters and a potentially important group given the close contest, especially in the battleground states of Arizona and Nevada. Biden won Hispanic people by 33 points in 2020, per the ABC News exit poll, and Harris leads in this group by a similar 30 points now, 64-34% -- compared with 55-43% in early October.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=115083875

[spryfusion]

.

[weatheriscool]

[spryfusion]

.

[weatheriscool]

[caltrek]

The Transparent Election
by Erin Doherty
October 27, 2024

Extract:

(Axios) In Pinal County, Ariz., the state's fastest-growing county, the transparency reboot involves a new $32 million, 53,000-square-foot election headquarters that includes a "fishbowl" where members of the public can have a 360-degree view of ballots being processed…

Fulton County, Ga., one of several big swing-state counties that could decide the election, moved into a new hub last year with an open floor plan, allowing voters to "come in and observe," said Nadine Williams, director of registration and elections in Fulton…

In Palm Beach County, Fla., the elections office has a Virtual Elections Experience Tour, where voters can see how the process works, said Wendy Link, the county's supervisor of elections…

In Douglas County, Colo., there's a 24/7 livestream of ballot drop boxes available to the public..

"[There's] something about bringing people into your house and showing them in person that really makes a big difference," said Eric Olsen, general registrar of elections in Prince William County, Va., which held open houses for its election center.

Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/27/elect ... s-trump

[wjfox]

FBI: Russian actors made fake video showing destroyed mail-in ballots in Bucks County

By 6abc Digital Staff WPVI logo
Saturday, October 26, 2024 4:31AM

YARDLEY, Pa. (WPVI) -- Russian actors were behind a widely circulated video falsely depicting mail-in ballots for Donald Trump being destroyed in Pennsylvania, U.S. officials confirmed on Friday.

The video had taken off on social media Thursday but was debunked within three hours by local election officials and law enforcement after members of the public reported it.

U.S. officials said in a statement sent by the FBI that they believe the video was "manufactured and amplified" by Russian actors. The officials said it's part of "Moscow's broader effort to raise unfounded questions about the integrity of the U.S. election and stoke divisions among Americans."

https://6abc.com/post/election-2024-rus ... /15470759/

[weatheriscool]

[Time_Traveller]

Here is what Metaculus.com is predicting in the 2024 Presidential election: - https://www.metaculus.com/experiments/elections/

[weatheriscool]

[spryfusion]

.

[wjfox]

[spryfusion]

.

[caltrek]

At first, I hesitated to post this article because so many votes have already been cast that, it would seem, the endorsement is too late in the process to dramatically affect the outcome. Still, it does point to what is at stake in the election and is thus worth quoting.

82 Nobel-Prize Recipients in Science Fields Endorse Harris
by April Rubin
October 25, 2024

Introduction:

(Axios) More than 80 Nobel Prize winners from a variety of scientific fields endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris for president, lauding her commitment to technology and research.

Why it matters: Scientific advancements and climate change responses would be undermined by former President Trump, the scientists warned during the final days of the razor-thin campaign.

• The signatories are Nobel Prize recipients in chemistry, economics, medicine and physics from the 1970s to this year.

What they're saying: "The enormous increases in living standards and life expectancies over the past two centuries are largely the result of advances in science and technology," the letter said.

• "Kamala Harris recognizes this and understands that maintaining America's leadership in these fields requires budgetary support from the federal government, independent universities, and international collaboration."

Read more here: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politic ... AA1sRDZA

[weatheriscool]

[wjfox]

[spryfusion]

.

[wjfox]

[weatheriscool]

Wjfox that was closer to 13% a few days ago and this isn't a good trend..Post above you. Well, that is why 54-55 republican senate is possible. If support continues to collapses in places like Califorina we could be looking at a 230-240 republican house. Good bye safetynet.