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Beyond 10,000 AD... 10,000-15,000 AD - The hypernova of Eta Carinae is affecting our region of the galaxy 22,000 AD - The Chernobyl disaster site becomes fully safe 35,000 AD - Ross 248 becomes the closest star to our Sun 296,000 AD - Voyager 2 is approaching Sirius 1,400,000 AD - The Oort Cloud is being disrupted by the approach of Gliese 710 2,000,000 AD - Pioneer 10 is approaching the Aldebaran system 4,000,000 AD - Pioneer 11 is approaching the Lambda Aquilae system 7,600,000 AD - Phobos is ripped apart by Mars' gravity 10,000,000 AD - T Pyxidis is threatening Earth with lethal levels of gamma radiation | Triton’s decaying orbit has led to it breaking up around Neptune, forming a new ring system 50,000,000 AD - Africa collides with Europe, forming a new mountain range to rival the Himalayas 150,000,000 AD - The Atlantic Ocean begins to close 225,000,000 AD - Sol completes one galactic year 250,000,000 AD - A supercontinent is forming on Earth 600,000,000 AD - Total solar eclipses are no longer possible on Earth 750,000,000 AD - The Sagittarius dwarf galaxy has been absorbed into the larger Milky Way 1,000,000,000 AD - Earth is becoming too hot to support liquid water 3,000,000,000 AD - The Andromeda Galaxy has begun to collide and merge with our own Milky Way galaxy 5,000,000,000 AD - Sol is a red giant 12,000,000,000 AD - Sol is shrinking to become a black dwarf 100,000,000,000 AD - The Virgo Supercluster is converging into a single galaxy 1,000,000,000,000 AD - Star formation is declining in many galaxies 2,000,000,000,000 AD - Galaxies beyond the Local Supercluster are no longer visible 20,000,000,000,000 AD - Red dwarf stars are dying 100,000,000,000,000 AD - The end of the stellar era 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 AD - The degenerate era of the universe 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, Beyond 10100 - The dark era of the universe
21st century | 22nd century | 23rd century | The Far Future | Beyond 10,000 AD
10,000-15,000 AD The
hypernova of Eta Carinae is affecting our region of the galaxy It subsequently died down, before brightening again in the late 1990s. This fluctuation continues - with periodic flaring and dimming - until one day the inevitable happens. Unable to maintain its cohesion, Eta Carinae erupts into one of the deadliest known forces in nature: a hypernova. For a brief period, this colossal explosion outshines the entire galaxy. It is bright enough to be visible during daytime on Earth, while at night, it is similar to the full moon.* Of much greater concern, however, are the lethal jets of gamma radiation released by the dying star. These begin to shoot outward, at such high energies that even systems thousands of light years away are affected. As a result, numerous planets in our region of the galaxy undergo mass extinctions during this time.*
The
Chernobyl disaster site becomes fully safe In any case, the original buildings on site have long since disappeared and indeed, Earth itself would be unrecognisable today.
Ross
248 becomes the closest star to our Sun In 2010, Ross 248 was 10.3 light years from Earth, with a radial velocity of -81 km/s. By 35,000 AD, it is closer than Alpha Centauri. It reaches its closest point in 38,000 AD - moving to within 3.1 light years - before receding again, becoming further from the Sun than Alpha Centauri in 44,000 AD.
Voyager
2 is approaching Sirius By 2010, Voyager 2 was around 92 AU (13.75 billion km, 8.5 billion miles, or 0.001443 ly) from the Sun, deep in the scattered disc, and traveling outward at roughly 3.26 AU per year. The probe survives for thousands of years in the emptiness of interstellar space. It eventually passes by Sirius, having covered a distance of over 25 trillion miles.* Sirius is the brightest star in the sky when viewed from Earth.
Planet-sized
computers are dominating the Local Group; AI controls all governmental
and other systems; the descendants of humanity are a Type 3 civilisation
on the Kardashev scale The vast majority of humans have long since abandoned these primitive biological forms, making the transition to machines or other substrates, achieving practical immortality. The entire Milky Way galaxy has been explored by these transhumans and their sentient ships. Faster-than-light travel is now possible using Alcubierre drives, which cause the fabric of space ahead of a spacecraft to contract, while the space behind it expands. This bypasses the laws of relativity, allowing travel to even neighbouring galaxies such as the Andromeda and Triangulum. Planet-sized computers are being constructed throughout the Local Group of galaxies, with every available resource going towards their production. All of the "dead" worlds, comets, moons and asteroids considered uninhabitable are being converted into these machines, forming a vast network millions of light years across space. Each computer is capable of instant communications with any other, regardless of distance. Despite all this, no advanced alien intelligences have been contacted yet. However, ancient ruins have been uncovered on a number of worlds - indicating advanced civilisations at some point in the distant past; and there are hundreds of planets with rich ecosystems brimming with diverse plant and animal life. Most of the fauna being discovered is small and insect-like, but some is more developed, with intelligence comparable to higher mammals such as dolphins, monkeys and cats.
Most of the biological (non-cyborg) humans are avoiding the core regions in each galaxy, which are filled with extremely high concentrations of gamma radiation, blackholes and other hazards - dangerous even with the technologies and protections of today.
1,400,000 AD The Oort cloud is being disrupted by the approach of Gliese 710 The orange dwarf star, Gliese 710, is passing within 1.1 light years (70,000 AU) of the Sun. This is close enough to disrupt the Oort Cloud surrounding our solar system. A shower of comets is now heading in-system. At its closest approach, Gliese 710 will be a first-magnitude star when viewed from Earth: one of the brightest in the night sky.
Pioneer
10 is approaching the Aldebaran system The final contact with the probe was made in 2003, when a very weak signal was detected from the craft, 12 billion kilometers (7.5 billion miles) from Earth. An attempt at contact in 2006 was unsuccessful. After travelling at roughly 2.6 AU per year, Pioneer 10 begins to approach the Aldebaran system in 2,000,000 AD.* Attached to the probe is a pictorial message, in case of interception by extraterrestrial life. This plaque shows the nude figures of a human male and female, along with symbols that are designed to provide information about the origin of the spacecraft.
Pioneer
11 is approaching the Lambda Aquilae system After four million years, it passes by Lambda Aquilae, a blue-white B-type main sequence dwarf star, approximately 125 light years from Earth.* Like its sister, Pioneer 11 carries a plaque with a message from humankind.
7,600,000 AD Phobos is ripped apart by Mars' gravity Phobos is the largest and closest of the two moons of Mars. Because its orbital period is shorter than a Martian day, tidal deceleration has been decreasing its orbital radius at the rate of about 20 metres (66 ft) per century. By this date, it has passed the Roche limit - the distance within which a celestial body, held together only by its own gravity, will disintegrate due to a second body's tidal forces exceeding the first's gravitational self-attraction. Phobos begins to break apart. It gradually becomes a ring system over the following 3 million years, with many of these fragments impacting upon Mars itself.* Neptune's largest moon - Triton - will share a similar fate.
10,000,000 AD T Pyxidis is threatening Earth with lethal levels of gamma radiation T Pyxidis is a binary star system in the constellation Pyxis. It contains a sun-like star and a white dwarf. Because of the strong gravitational effect of the white dwarf, it draws matter from the other star which causes periodic thermonuclear explosions (so-called novae) to occur. Around this time, it reaches the so-called Chandrasekhar Limit, causing it to undergo an instantaneous collapse that completely destroys the star in a Type 1a supernova. This catastrophic event releases 10 million times more energy than a typical nova explosion, or the equivalent of 20 billion, billion, billion megatons of TNT.* The system is only 3,260 light years away - close enough to affect our solar system. Unless Earth is protected by advanced technology by now, waves of gamma radiation could destroy the ozone layer, leading to mass extinctions.
Triton’s decaying orbit has led to it breaking up around Neptune, forming a new ring system That's assuming the moon still exists in a form we would recognise. The descendants of humanity may have converted its raw mass into artificial structures by now. Even Neptune itself may no longer exist – the planet’s hydrogen and helium may have been siphoned off for use in starships and industrial processes.
50,000,000 AD Africa collides with Europe, forming a new mountain range to rival the Himalayas As a result of this, the Mediterranean no longer exists. The Red Sea, Black Sea and Caspian Sea have also disappeared. Meanwhile, the Atlantic Ocean has continued to widen, and North Amercia is being distorted with California sliding northward towards Alaska. Southeast Asia is beginning to merge with Australia.
150,000,000 AD The Atlantic Ocean begins to close New subduction zones along the eastern coasts of North America and South America have begun to consume the ocean floor separating North America from Africa. The continents are moving closer together. Meanwhile, Australia has merged with Indonesia and Antarctica.
225,000,000 AD Sol completes one galactic year By now, our Sun has completed another clockwise revolution around the galaxy - the 21st in its lifetime so far. The Sun's orbit is roughly elliptical, with perturbations due to the galactic spiral arms and non-uniform mass distributions. In addition, the Sun oscillates up and down relative to the galactic plane, around 2.7 times per orbit. The Sun's passage through the higher density spiral arms has coincided with mass extinctions on Earth, due to increased impact events. The orbital speed of the Solar System around the center of the Galaxy is approximately 251 km/s.
250,000,000 AD A supercontinent is forming on Earth The next Pangea, "Pangea Ultima" is forming as a result of subduction of the ocean floor of the Atlantic, beneath eastern North America and South America. This supercontinent has a small ocean basin trapped at its center. The Sun is becoming noticeably hotter and brighter, raising global temperatures by several degrees. Much of the planet is now covered by deserts. Of course, this scenario assumes that the Earth hasn’t been altered in some way by the descendants of humanity - possibly including being moved to a new orbit, or converted to an artificial structure. Even the Sun itself may no longer exist in a form we would recognise.
600,000,000 AD Total solar eclipses are no longer possible on Earth Due to tidal acceleration, the distance of the Moon from the Earth has been increasing by approximately 3.8cm each year. By 600 million AD, the distance has increased by nearly 23,000 km. At the same time, the Sun has been growing in size by a significant amount. As a result, the Moon is no longer big enough in the sky to completely cover the Sun's disk, making total eclipses impossible. This is true even when the Moon is at perigee and the Earth is at aphelion. The reduced gravitational influence of the Moon is affecting Earth's oceans - with smaller waves and less variation in tide heights.
750,000,000 AD The Sagittarius dwarf galaxy has been absorbed into the larger Milky Way The Sagittarius dwarf elliptical galaxy (Sag DEG) is a tiny satellite galaxy orbiting the Milky Way. For aeons, it has been stretched and torn apart by the immense tidal forces of its neighbour. By now, it has been completely absorbed into the Milky Way.* When first discovered, astronomers thought that Sag DEG had already reached an advanced stage of destruction. However, later observations showed that it still had coherence, as a dispersed elongated ellipse. It appeared to be moving in a roughly polar orbit around the Milky Way, reaching as close as 50,000 light years from the galactic core. Computer simulations indicated that stars ripped out from the dwarf would be spread out in a long "stellar stream" along its path. These were subsequently detected. Sag DEG may have orbited the Milky Way as many as ten times, prior to being swallowed up. Its ability to retain some coherence, despite such strains, would indicate an unusually high level of dark matter in that galaxy.
1,000,000,000 AD Earth
is becoming too hot to support liquid water
3,000,000,000 AD The
Andromeda Galaxy has begun to collide and merge with our own Stars and planets within each galaxy are unlikely to actually collide, as galaxies are in fact somewhat diffuse. Such mergers are relatively common; Andromeda, for example, is believed to have collided with at least one other galaxy in the past.
5,000,000,000 AD Sol
is a red giant
12,000,000,000 AD Sol is shrinking to become a black dwarf Most of the Sun's mass has been ejected, forming a planetary nebula. Having ended its main sequence life, it now begins to cool and dim - changing from a dense white dwarf into a cold, inactive black dwarf.
100,000,000,000 AD The Virgo Supercluster is converging into a single galaxy The Virgo Supercluster - containing hundreds of smaller clusters including our own - is now so ancient that it has begun to stabilise and converge into a single huge galaxy, many millions of light years across. Other superclusters are also converging, but are now separated from each other by billions of light years due to the acceleration of dark energy.
1,000,000,000,000 AD Star formation is declining in many galaxies* By now, a significant percentage of galaxies throughout the universe are beginning to "burn out", having been depleted of the gas clouds needed to form stars.
2,000,000,000,000 AD Galaxies beyond the Local Supercluster are no longer visible* Dark energy has continued to drive the expansion of the universe at an ever-accelerating rate. By now, the volume of the universe is so great - and the speed of acceleration so high - that everything beyond the Local Supercluster is no longer visible. Even for the highest energy gamma rays, a redshift of 1053 means their wavelength is stretched to greater than the physical diameter of the horizon. Because of this, any remaining intelligent life today may no longer be able to obtain new empirical data on the state of large-scale structures on scales observed in the past.
20,000,000,000,000 AD Red dwarf stars are dying* By now, even some of the longest-lived stars in our galaxy - such as red dwarfs - have begun to fade away, leaving behind only cold "black dwarfs" emitting trace amounts of radiation. This includes once famous stars such as Proxima Centauri, Barnard's Star and Wolf 359. The Milky Way galaxy is becoming a dark, empty place dominated by enormous blackholes.
100,000,000,000,000 AD The end of the stellar era* The last of the main sequence stars in our universe has withered away to nothing. The only stellar-mass objects now remaining are white dwarfs, neutron stars and black holes. Brown dwarfs also remain. Planets everywhere have been dislodged from their previous orbits and left drifting as "rogues", with many ending up in black holes.
10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 AD The degenerate era of the universe* In this era, practically the only energy being generated in the universe is through proton decay and particle annihilation. The only remaining objects are neutron stars, white dwarfs and black holes. Due to extreme age, all of the planets and moons have disintegrated and decayed into their constituent atomic particles - or else been absorbed into stellar remnants.
10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, The black hole era of the universe* Only black holes and subatomic particles remain. The universe has expanded so much that these individual particles may be separated from each other by truly enormous distances. Black holes themselves are now evaporating by Hawking radiation.
Beyond 10100 The dark era of the universe* The last remaining black hole has evaporated. From this point onwards the universe is composed only of photons, neutrinos, electrons and positrons - with no way of interacting with each other. The universe continues to expand forever... but is essentially dead.
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References 1
Eta Carinae, Wikipedia.org: 2 It is unlikely that Earth would be affected. Even if the gamma ray jets point in our direction, the solar system will likely be protected by a Dyson shell (or similar giant structure) by then. Less developed colonies in other star systems might not be so fortunate, however. 3 "There is a 17 mile Exclusion Zone around Chernobyl where officially nobody is allowed to live, but people do. These "resettlers" are elderly people who lived in the region prior to the disaster. Today there are approximately 10,000 people between the ages of 60 and 90 living within the Zone around Chernobyl. Younger families are allowed to visit, but only for brief periods of time. "Eventually the land could be utilized for some sort of industrial purpose that would involve concrete sites. But estimates range from 60–200 years before this would be allowed. Farming or any other type of agricultural industry would be dangerous and completely inappropriate for at least 200 years. It will be at least two centuries before there is any chance the situation can change within the 1.5-mile Exclusion Zone. As for the #4 reactor where the meltdown occurred, we estimate it will be 20,000 years before the real estate is fully safe." Disasters:
Wasted Lives, Valuable Lessons, Randall Bell 4
Voyager - Interstellar Mission, Nasa.gov: 5
Spacecraft escaping the Solar System, Heavens Above: 6
Lambda Aquilae, Wikipedia: 7
Phobos Might Only Have 10 Million Years to Live, Universe Today: 8
Explosive Nearby Star Could Threaten Earth, Space.com: 9
The Milky Way: A Tourist's Guide, Space.com: 10
Andromeda–Milky Way collision, Wikipedia.org: 11
Galaxy Collision, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics: 12
Life, The Universe, and Nothing: Life and Death in an Ever-Expanding
Universe, arXiv.org: 13
1 E18 s and more, Wikipedia.org: 14
Timeline: the end of the universe, CosmosMagazine.com: |