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22nd century ... 2150-2199 Contents 2150 - Interstellar travel is becoming possible | Androids physically indistinguishable from real humans | Hi-tech, automated cities 2151 - Total solar eclipse in London 2155 - Universal education in Africa 2160 - The world's first bicentenarians 2170 - The first kilometre-sized space station is complete 2180 - Antimatter power plants are coming online | Asteroid terrorism 2190 - Matter replication is available for the home | Global languages are becoming few in number now; education has been vastly accelerated | The West Antarctic ice sheet is beginning to disintegrate
Interstellar
travel is becoming possible Most of these vessels are crewless, with only a handful of humans daring enough to attempt such a voyage. However, each craft is equipped with powerful AI, automated systems and robots which do a better job than any human could, in any case. Protection from incoming meteors is provided by cone-shaped force fields, projected from the front of each craft. This streamlined shape allows such debris to simply drift by without causing any damage. After several decades of interstellar travel, the majority of probes successfully rendezvous with their destinations. Each returns a treasure trove of data and visual information. Among the many discoveries is a planet similar in size to Earth, with over 90% of its surface covered in liquid water, though no life forms are detected. Another, much larger and rockier world is discovered in the same system, with a highly active geology and volcanism. A host of interesting and unique moons, asteroids, ring systems and other astronomical features are catalogued. The success of these missions acts as a catalyst, further accelerating the current boom in space travel.
Androids
physically indistinguishable from real humans The typical android of today would appear remarkably calm and subdued, however. They would rarely (if ever) express any strong emotions. Their cognitive abilities would be geared towards hard facts and objective data, rather than subjective views or emotional reasoning. For this reason, they are regarded as servants at this point in history. However, major advances will be made in the coming decades that will see them replicate even the subtlest of human traits. With androids playing an increasing role in society, a civil rights movement will develop, similar to that which dominated America 200 years earlier.*
Hi-tech,
automated cities Lamp posts, telegraph poles, signs, bollards and other "clutter" that once festooned the streets have disappeared. Lighting is now achieved more discretely, using a combination of self-illuminating walls and surfaces, antigravity and other features designed to hide these eyesores and maximise pedestrian space and aesthetics. Electricity is passed wirelessly from building to building. Room temperature superconductors - implanted in the ground - allow the rapid movement of vehicles without any need for tracks, wheels, overhead cables or other bulky components. Cars and trains simply drift along silently, riding on electromagnetic currents. This infrastructure is self-repairing, too. Meanwhile, augmented reality has made sign posts obsolete - all information is beamed electronically into a person's visual cortex. A person merely has to "think" of a particular building, street or route to be given information about it. This observer would also notice their increased personal space, and the relative quiet of areas that once bustled with cars, people and movement. Times Square, Piccadilly Circus and Shibuya in particular would be eerily serene, only a handful of pedestrians and vehicles hovering silently past. In some places, robots tending to manual duties might outnumber humans. Most citizens of today spend the majority of their time in virtual environments, both for work and leisure (often with no clear distinction between the two). These Matrix-like worlds are fully immersive, using microscopic machines within the brain's neurons to produce wholly convincing simulated realities. They offer practically everything a person needs in terms of knowledge, communication and interaction – often at speeds vastly greater than real time. Limited only by a person's imagination, they can provide richer and more stimulating experiences than just about anything in the physical world. On those rare occasions when a person leaves their house, they are likely to spend very little time on foot. All of their services and material needs can be obtained practically on their doorstep – whether it be food supplies, medical assistance, or even replacement body parts and physical upgrades. A "shop" in the developed world is likely to be run entirely by AI. It will know exactly what you need before you even set foot in it, and will have everything ready upon your arrival (if you even arrive at all, since robots can deliver most goods and services). The same goes for hospitals and other amenities. Social gatherings in the real world tend to be infrequent - usually reserved for "special" occasions such as funerals, for novelty value, or the small number of situations where VR is impractical. Crime is almost non-existent in these hi-tech cities. Surveillance is everywhere: recording every footstep of your journey in perfect detail and identifying who you are, from the moment you enter a public area. Even your internal biological state can be monitored (such as neural activity and pulse), giving clues as to your immediate intentions. Police can be summoned within seconds if necessary, often consisting of robotic squads in antigravity vehicles.
Although safe and clean, these hi-tech districts might appear somewhat sterile to an observer from the previous century. They would lack the grit, noise and character which defined cities in past times. One way that urban designers are overcoming this problem is through the use of dynamic surfaces. These create physical environments that are interactive. Certain building façades, for instance, can change their appearance to match the tastes of the observer. This can be achieved via augmented reality (which only the individual is aware of), claytronic surfaces and holographic projections (which everybody can see), or a combination of the two. A bland glass and steel building could suddenly morph into a classical style, with Corinthian columns and marble floors; or it could change to a red brick texture, depending on the mood or situation.
Total
solar eclipse in London
Universal
education in Africa Due to falling costs and continued innovation, there is now widespread availability of brain-computer interfaces, which greatly accelerate the learning process. In addition, a growing percentage of teachers, lecturers and mentors are in fact androids - fully sentient and humanlike - some built in Africa, others donated from the West. These are programmed with the most tried and tested educational techniques and can monitor the progress of every child in perfect detail. With a growing economy, improving living standards and a more stable geopolitical environment, Africa is gradually pulling itself free of the poverty which has characterised its past - though it still has some way to go.
The
world's first bicentenarians However, the rate of increase itself had been accelerating, due to major breakthroughs in medicine and healthcare, combined with better education and lifestyle choices. This created a "stepping stone", allowing people to buy time for the revolutionary treatments available in the latter half of the 21st century - which included being able to halt the aging process altogether.*
The
first kilometre-sized space station is complete Several other large-scale space stations have been appearing in Earth orbit during the last few decades - but this is the largest, and represents a new generation. It contains an entire fusion power plant at its core, utilises a form of artificial gravity and is home to many hundreds of people and androids. The commercial space industry is booming during this time, with a regular flow of traffic between Earth, the Moon and several near-Earth asteroids which are now being mined for raw materials.*
Antimatter
power plants are coming online A new generation of power plants is becoming available, capable of harnessing the energy released in matter/antimatter collisions. The reactions involved are 1,000 times more powerful than the fission produced in nuclear power plants and over 300 times more powerful than nuclear fusion energy.*
Various colonies in the outer solar system are also being targetted. These are particularly vulnerable, since they tend to lack the orbital infrastructure and defences necessary to deflect these huge incoming objects. At least one major colony around Jupiter is devastated during this time. In addition to religious extremists, there is a growing anarcho-primitivist movement. This consists of small underground cults opposed to the increasing dominance of AI in the running of world affairs. They deplore what they see as forced, unnatural changes and technologies sweeping humanity - instead favouring a return to more traditional lifestyles and cultures. They are prepared to resort to whatever means necessary to achieve this.*
Matter
replication devices are available for the home Originally used in factories, science labs and corporate environments, the machines were big enough to fill entire rooms, and often required huge amounts of power. They worked well for large enterprises but were completely impractical for the consumer market. However, much like the IT industry, exponential progress in this field led to a rapidly shrinking form-factor. Combined with power conservation and heat dissipation techniques, a new generation of replicators began to evolve that were ultra-compact. Eventually they became small enough to fit on kitchen worktops. Today, these devices are as cheap and commonplace as microwave ovens were in the late 20th century. They are most commonly used as food synthesisers, but a variety of other household items can be reproduced. Raw mass resources - in the form of sterilised organic particulates - are stored in compartments within the machine. To save energy and computational power, these have been specially formulated to statistically require the least quantum manipulation. The user inputs their choice either via mind control, or voice activation. Molecular analysers then scan each and every subatomic particle, while trillions of Heisenberg compensators maintain cohesion as the object begins to materialise, held in place by micro force-fields. The process takes a matter of seconds and can be repeated as long as there are sufficient resources in the storage compartment (these typically last several months). A vast database containing information on food, clothing and other objects is constantly maintained online. This is automatically downloaded into each machine, and contains many freely available programs. These devices will play a major role in eliminating poverty, disease and hunger throughout the world. Traditional agriculture, manufacturing and distribution will become obsolete, replaced by purely information-driven systems that are completely decentralised.*
Global
languages are becoming few in number now; education has been vastly
accelerated The spoken word has been relegated to a secondary function. Mind interfaces have become the preferred method for in-person communication. These are transparently embedded in clothing, or directly in the body. This form of digital telepathy has been available for over a century - but has now been perfected, so that colossal streams of audio-visual data can be sent and received in addition to basic thoughts and feelings. Practically all education and training is now achieved in this way. Schools have become obsolete, with teaching instead taking place in a home environment. The learning process has been accelerated to such an extent that a child of today could learn the entire curricula of a 20th century classroom in a microsecond - just by connecting to the "global brain" of the Internet. This process is facilitated by a combination of genetic engineering and neural upgrades - applied before birth - which extend the brain's capacity and throughput by many orders of magnitude. To an observer from the year 2000, a typical child of the late 22nd century would appear like a miniature Einstein: an expert on virtually any subject, capable of conversing fluently on everything from quantum mechanics to the inner workings of a spacecraft.
The
West Antarctic ice sheet is beginning to disintegrate Although CO2 emissions fell sharply in the mid-21st century, positive feedback loops had already been triggered, making it too late to prevent global warming. By the end of the 22nd century, a whole series of tipping points is being reached. Most significant is the West Antarctic ice sheet - containing 2.2 million cubic kilometres of ice - which is now beginning to disintegrate. Substantial melting is also being experienced in Greenland and Iceland, contributing vast quantities of additional water.* Sea levels have risen nearly 4m as a result of all this, radically altering the geopolitical map of the world.* Earth is becoming a desert planet, with a highly volatile climate and fluctuating extremes of weather. Most of civilisation is crammed into dense vertical cities around freshwater locations, far away from the coast - and highly dependent on advanced technology.
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References 1 This compares with around 40 thousand years for space probes of the early 21st century. 2 The Star Trek: TNG episode, The Measure of a Man, is an excellent portrayal of how this scenario may unfold. It features a trial involving the android Commander Data, in which his sentience is challenged. His status as the "property" of Star Fleet is brought into the debate. 3
Total Solar Eclipse of 2151 June 14, NASA: 4
"At the current rate of progress, says the GCE, it would take 150
years in Africa to reach the goal of getting every child to school." 5
Aubrey de Grey - In Pursuit of Longevity, YouTube: 6
Mining the Sky: Untold Riches from the Asteroids, Comets, and Planets,
by John S Lewis (1997). 7
How Antimatter Spacecraft Will Work, HowStuffWorks: 8
Cosmic golf game could smash cities, Rumour Mill News (originally
posted in The Times): 9
Anarcho-primitivism, Wikipedia: 10
"Within this century it might be possible to use a thought-driven
apparatus to manipulate room-temperature superconductors and perform feats
that woud be indistinguishable from magic. And by the next century it
might be possible to rearrange the molecules in a macroscopic object." 11
The cost of losing too many tongues, Times Higher Education: 12 See 2095. 13
Greenland thaw among feared climate shifts by 2200, Reuters: 14
Climate experts call sea level rise inevitable, The Johns Hopkins
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