future timeline technology humanity predictions 2050
future timeline technology predictions events humanity

 Home | Latest predictions | Blog | Forum | Links | Contact

future timeline facebook groupfuture timeline twitterfuture timeline youtube channel

21st century > 2010-2019 >

2014 timeline contents

2014 - The IPCC releases its Fifth Assessment Report | The Internet has a greater reach than television | The new World Trade Center is completed | The Shanghai Tower is completed | Brazil hosts the FIFA World Cup | The Large Hadron Collider reaches its maximum operating power | The first solar aircraft to circumnavigate the globe | Completion of the Panama Canal expansion project | Personalised DNA sequencing for under $100 | Sony launches the PS4 | Terabyte SD cards are available | Robotic pack mules are entering military service | The first test flight of NASA's Orion spacecraft | The MAVEN probe arrives at Mars | The Rosetta probe deploys its lander on comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko | Most telephone calls are made via the Internet now | Increased automation in retail environments

 

2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019

2000-2009
| 2010-2019 | 2020-2029 | 2030-2039 | 2040-2049 | 2050-2059 | 2060-2069 | 2070-2079 | 2080-2089 | 2090-2099 >

 

 


2014

The IPCC releases its Fifth Assessment Report

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) releases its Fifth Assessment Report in 2014, which further discusses the possible future impacts of climate change.*

The first two reports were released in 1990 and 1995, respectively. Both of these highlighted the potential rise in global temperature and the long term effects of greenhouse gasses. The second report was particularly strong in clarifying that humans were affecting the climate.

The third report, released in 2001, provided even greater certainty on this, as well as the projected temperatures. Every model presented in the report showed global temperatures and sea levels rising significantly by the end of the 21st century.

The fourth assessment report was released in 2007. This was by far the most alarming to date. New data, along with state-of-the-art computer modelling, showed a global temperature increase as high as 6.4°C (11.5°F) by the end of the 21st century on a "business as usual" scenario. According to the report, a change of this magnitude would be enough to cause a global mass extinction.

Even these dire predictions proved to be an underestimate, however, due to an incomplete scientific understanding. They failed to include the amplifying effects of certain feedback mechanisms - such as methane, released from melting permafrost - and dynamic shifts in glacier melt. Another factor being overlooked was the sudden and rapid emergence of China and India. These nations, with their enormous populations, were now becoming industrialised at a phenomenal rate, creating a huge increase in greenhouse gas emissions.

Since 1990, each report from the IPCC has been more certain and more grim. The fifth assessment report continues this trend. By 2014, the next generation of Earth System Models has produced petabytes of new climate data, making available far more information for this document than in earlier reports. The fifth assessment expands on the predictions of the 2007 report - narrowing the range of possible temperature and sea level rises. More is known about how natural processes react to climate change, helping to build a comprehensive view of the future climate. The overall conclusion of the Fifth Assessment Report is that humanity is on a path to self destruction and is rapidly running out of time.** Despite these warnings, and a broad scientific consensus, much of the public remains skeptical about global warming.*

 

global warming timeline future climate change ipcc fifth assessment report 2013 2014 2015

 

 

The Internet has a greater reach than television

Citizens in developed nations now rely on the Internet more than any other medium for news coverage. This trend* first became apparent in the early 2000s, when radio was overtaken by Internet usage. The rapid shift towards web-based information then began to affect print media, with newspaper sales being heavily impacted.

By 2014, the trend has continued, with even television now having less reach when it comes to news reporting. Television and the Internet are in fact converging together as one. Social media, mobile technologies and exponential bandwidth improvements have driven much of this change.

 

2014 trends technology predictions events future timeline graph chart diagram internet

 

 

The new World Trade Center is completed

After the terrorist attacks of 2001, then-President George Bush vowed that the World Trade Center complex would be fully rebuilt and the skyline made whole again. A competition was held between several architecture firms to design an iconic new landmark.

By 2010, however, only a single new building - 7 World Trade Center - had been completed, due to acrimonious disputes over money, security and design of the other buildings. The economic downturn had also slowed the project's progress considerably.

The following year, construction picked up, with all of the new buildings underway.* The new complex would be comprised of six towers, designed by five different architects. There would also be a memorial in the form of two square fountains in place of the previous Twin Towers' foundations. These would be located in a park at the centre of the development, along with a museum and visitor center.

The tallest of the new skyscrapers is One World Trade Center, formerly known as the Freedom Tower. Designed by David Childs of Skidmore, Owings and Merrill - the same architecture firm behind the Burj Khalifa in Dubai - it stands a symbolic 1,776 ft from base to pinnacle, recalling the year in which the Declaration of Independence was signed. The tower is built with several key safety features including a blast-resistant steel and concrete internal structure, polymer-reinforced glass, chemical and biological filters, widened stairs and a more thorough sprinkler system. It also sets an example for environmentally-friendly design: the roof collects rainwater, to be used for its cooling system and, like all buildings on the site, it is heated by steam, reducing reliance on fossil fuels.

One World Trade Center is completed in 2013, becoming the tallest building in the US - and third tallest in the world, before being overtaken by the Shanghai Tower.* The entire complex is finished by 2014.*

 

 

 

The Shanghai Tower is completed

The Shanghai Tower is designed by Gensler and constructed in the Pudong District of Shanghai, China. It is the tallest in a group of three supertall buildings, the others being Jin Mao and the Shanghai World Financial Center. Upon its completion in 2014, it becomes the tallest skyscraper in China and the second tallest in the world, surpassed only by the Burj Khalifa in Dubai. The building rises 632 m (2,073 ft) and has 128 stories.

The tower is mixed-use and includes offices, a hotel, retail, entertainment facilities and observation decks. It is organised as nine cylindrical buildings stacked on top of each other and enclosed by the glass façade's inner layer. Between that and the outer layer, which twists as it rises, nine indoor zones provide public space for visitors. Each of these nine areas has its own atrium - featuring gardens, cafes, restaurants and retail space and providing 360° panoramic views of the city. These "sky gardens" cut down the time needed for people to travel on the building's elevators and provide visitors with places to meet, eat and shop. Both layers of the façade are transparent.

Sustainability features heavily in the tower. Its twisting, asymmetrical design reduces wind loads by almost 25%, meaning that fewer construction materials are needed. The building's spiralling parapet collects rainwater to be used for air conditioning and central heating systems. Wind turbines generate on-site power.

The building's form is a metaphor for the spirit and philosophy of China. Referencing the spiral as a symbol of the cosmos in Chinese culture, the tower's form symbolises China's connection with the world, space and time. Additionally, its triangular plan relates to the site's harmonious trio of buildings.*

 

 

 

Brazil hosts the FIFA World Cup

The 2014 FIFA World Cup is the 20th since the inaugural tournament in 1930, and the second time that Brazil has hosted the competition. It becomes the first World Cup to feature goal-line technology. The ball now has an embedded microchip, which sends a signal to the referee if it crosses a sensor in the goal mouth.*

 

brazil 2014 world cup
© Elaromy | Dreamstime.com

 

 

The Large Hadron Collider reaches its maximum operating power

The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is the world's largest and highest-energy particle accelerator. By smashing together sub-atomic particles at close to the speed of light, it aims to recreate the conditions that existed just a fraction of a second after the birth of the universe. In doing so, it is expected to address some of the most fundamental questions in physics.

The LHC lies in a tunnel 27 kilometres (17 mi) in circumference, as much as 175 metres (574 ft) beneath the Franco-Swiss border near Geneva, Switzerland. This synchrotron is designed to collide opposing particle beams of either protons at an energy of 7 tera-electronvolts (7 TeV) per particle, or lead nuclei at 574 TeV per nucleus. The term "hadron" refers to particles composed of quarks.

The machine was built by the European Organisation for Nuclear Research (CERN) with the intention of testing various predictions of high-energy physics, including the existence of the hypothesised Higgs boson, and of the large family of new particles predicted by supersymmetry. It was built in collaboration with over 10,000 scientists and engineers from over 100 countries, as well as hundreds of universities and laboratories.

In September 2008, the proton beams were successfully circulated in the main ring of the LHC for the first time - but nine days later its operations were halted due to a serious malfunction. In November 2009, they were successfully circulated again, the first recorded proton-proton collisions occurring three days later at the injection energy of 450 GeV per beam. After the 2009 winter shutdown, the LHC was restarted and the beam was ramped up to half power, 3.5 TeV per beam (i.e. half its designed energy). In March 2010, the first planned collisions took place between two 3.5 TeV beams - a new world record for the highest-energy man-made particle collisions.

The LHC continues to operate at half power until 2014, when it reaches its maximum design power of 7 TeV.

The experiment sparks fears among the public that the collisions might produce a doomsday scenario, involving microscopic black holes or the creation of hypothetical particles known as strangelets. Two CERN-commissioned safety reviews examined these concerns and concluded that the experiments at the LHC presented no danger and that there was no reason for concern, a conclusion endorsed by the American Physical Society.

 

large hadron collider 2011 2012 2013 2014 particle accelerator maximum power
© Gl0ck33 | Dreamstime.com

 

 

The first solar aircraft to circumnavigate the globe

Solar Impulse is a Swiss long-range solar powered craft being developed by Bertrand Piccard and André Borschberg. In 2014, it becomes the first piloted fixed-wing plane to circle the Earth using solar power alone.

Solar Impulse has the wingspan of a large airliner, but weighs no more than a saloon car. It uses 12,000 solar cells on its 64-metre wings to charge batteries providing energy for 10-horsepower electric motors driving its propellors. Its average speed is 70kph and it has a maximum altitude of 8,500 metres.*

 

 

 

Completion of the Panama Canal expansion project

The famous Panama Canal joins the Atlantic and Pacific Ocean and is a key conduit for international maritime trade. Its capacity has now been doubled, with the completion of a major expansion project. Following eight years of excavation, a third set of locks has been added.

By 2011, 37% of shipping traffic was unable to pass through the canal because of size, and the volume of shipping that did pass through was expected to continue a steady rise. Global demand necessitated the construction of this new, high tech passage.

The expansion program includes the construction of new locks in the Atlantic and Pacific, the excavation of new access channels and the widening of existing channels. It also includes deepening of the navigation channels in the Gaillard Cut and Gatún Lake, and the raising of Gatún Lake’s maximum operating level.

Now open to traffic, the canal as a whole will be able to handle the projected rise in volume to 2025 and beyond. This mega-project eases numerous burdens on the shipping industry, as well as creating huge numbers of jobs among the Panamanian people - generating enough wealth to reduce poverty in the country by almost 30%. However, critics of the project contend that there are serious environmental issues.*

 

panama canal expansion project 2014 2015
Credit: PanCanal.com

 

 

Personalised DNA sequencing for under $100

DNA sequencing technology is now so fast and cheap that an entire human genome can be read in a matter of hours for less than $100. This has been made possible by a revolutionary new device called a nanofluidic chip.*

Medical treatments can now be delivered on a highly personalised level, tailored to a patient's exact genetic code. For example, a doctor can biopsy a cancer patient's tumor, sequence all of its DNA, and use that information to determine a prognosis and prescribe treatment - all for less than the cost of a chest X-ray.

In the case of lung cancer, the doctor can determine the precise genetic changes in the tumor cells and order the chemotherapy best suited to that variant. Meanwhile, parents of newborns now have the option of determining if their baby is susceptible to conditions like diabetes, and then modifying the baby's diet and medication from day one to reduce the chance of it ever manifesting.

 

2014 medicine timeline

 

 

Sony launches the PlayStation 4*

The PS3 is reaching the end of its life cycle. The new console aims to compete with the Xbox 720 and Wii U, which together form the 8th generation of games consoles. Like its predecessor, the PS4 still includes physical media.

 

 

Terabyte SD cards are available

SD cards and other memory devices continue to grow exponentially this decade, with storage capacities doubling roughly every year. A terabyte is equal to 1000 gigabytes.

 

terabyte sd card exponential growth data storage

 

 

Robotic pack mules are entering military service*

Dynamically stable, quadruped robots are being deployed in military support roles now. These are accompanying soldiers in terrain too difficult for conventional vehicles. They use four legs for movement, allowing them to move across surfaces that would defeat wheels or treads. They are capable of running at 4 miles per hour (6.4 km/h), while carrying loads up to 340 pounds (150 kg) and climbing slopes with 35 degree inclines.*

Locomotion, navigation and balance are controlled by an onboard computer that receives input from the robot's many sensors, which include a stereo vision system, laser gyroscopes, joint position and ground contact monitors.

These machines greatly reduce the burden of equipment for soldiers.

 

 

 

The first test flight of NASA's Orion spacecraft

The Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle was originally part of NASA's Constellation Program which was cancelled in 2010. However, the design was carried forward as the Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle (Orion MPCV), as part of NASA's new plans for manned exploration to the Moon, Mars and asteroids.

The first test flight is in 2014.* For this particular mission, the capsule is unmanned. Nevertheless, it reaches a higher altitude than any spacecraft intended for human use since 1973. Orion makes two highly elliptical orbits of the Earth, before re-entering the atmosphere and splashing down in the Pacific Ocean.

This test supports the development of the Space Launch System - a new dedicated rocket, which itself will be tested in 2017. The first manned flight of Orion will occur in the 2020s, depending on Nasa's future funding.*

 

nasa orion 2014 spacecraft timeline
Credit: NASA

 

 

The MAVEN probe arrives at Mars

NASA's Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) spacecraft arrives at Mars, to study its atmosphere and climate history.*

Its four primary objectives are:

1. To determine the role that loss of volatiles from the Mars atmosphere to space has played through time.
2. To determine the current state of the upper atmosphere, ionosphere, and interactions with the solar wind.
3. To determine the current rates of escape of neutral gases and ions to space and the processes controlling them.
4. To determine the ratios of stable isotopes in the Martian atmosphere.

 

maven nasa mars probe 2013 2014 2015
Credit: NASA

 

 

Rosetta deploys its lander on comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko

Rosetta is a probe launched in 2004 by the European Space Agency and intended to study the comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko.

The craft examines two asteroids - 2867 Steins and 21 Lutetia - before rendezvousing with the comet in 2014.

The spacecraft then places a lander on it. This deploys harpoons to anchor itself to the surface, and has legs designed to dampen its initial impact. During its week-long mission, the lander uses a variety of scientific instruments to examine the surface and internal composition.*

 

rosetta probe lander philae comet asteroid 67P Churyumov Gerasimenko 2014 future mission nasa esa
Credit: NASA

 

 

Most phone calls are made via the Internet now

By now, the majority of homes and workplaces use Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) systems, such as Skype.* These connections are made via the Internet, rather than traditional phone lines.

Undoubtedly the biggest advantage of VoIP is the cost. PC-to-PC phone calls can be made anywhere in the world, at any time, for free. PC-to-phone connections usually charge a fee, but are generally much cheaper than standard phone services with conventional handsets.

Another advantage is the portability. Phone calls can be made and received from any PC - provided there is a broadband connection - simply by signing into a personal VoIP account.

Phone-to-phone VoIP is also portable. When you sign up with a VoIP servicer provider, the Internet phone or adaptor that is used with that service is assigned a unique number. This 'phone number' remains valid even if your VoIP service provider is located in England and you are connected to the Internet in Australia. An Internet phone is small and light enough to take with you anywhere. It can simply be plugged into any broadband connection, anywhere in the world, and used to make and receive calls, just as though you were in your own home or office.

There are several other features that make VoIP attractive. Higher fidelity (wideband) audio, video, call forwarding, call waiting, voicemail, caller ID and multiple-way calling at no extra charge. Digital data such as pictures, documents and other files can also be transmitted during calls.

 

 

Increased automation in retail environments

Checkout operators of retail chains are increasingly being replaced with automated systems, in order to save costs and improve efficiency. The customer simply scans the items themselves, and is prompted via on-screen instructions and audio to insert their method of payment. In 2009, around 100,000 self-checkout units were installed worldwide. By 2014, this number has more than quadrupled.*

 

self service checkout automation future technology
© Linda Bucklin | Dreamstime.com

 

 

 

 

References

1 IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPCC_Fifth_Assessment_Report
Accessed 23rd July 2011.

2 A stunning year in climate science reveals that human civilization is on the precipice, Think Progress:
http://thinkprogress.org/romm/2010/11/15/207034/year-in-climate-science-climategate/
Accessed 23rd July 2011.

3 Arguments from Global Warming Skeptics and what the science really says, Skeptical Science:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php
Accessed 23rd July 2011.

4 In U.S., Concerns About Global Warming Stable at Lower Levels, Gallup:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/146606/concerns-global-warming-stable-lower-levels.aspx
Accessed 23rd July 2011.

5 Internet Gains on Television as Public's Main News Source, Pew Research Center:
http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1844/poll-main-source-national-international-news-internet-television-newspapers
Accessed 14th July 2011.

6 One World Trade Center, SkyscraperCity:
http://www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=419362
Accessed 24th July 2011.

7 World's Tallest Buildings 2015, SkyscraperPage:
http://skyscraperpage.com/diagrams/?searchID=201
Accessed 24th July 2011.

8 World Trade Center Rebuilding May Finish by 2014, Officials Say, World Trade Center:
http://www.wtc.com/news/world-trade-center-rebuilding-may-finish-by-2014-officials-say
Accessed 24th July 2011.

9 Tallest Building in China Breaks Ground, Gensler:
http://www.gensler.com/uploads/documents/pr_081128_Shanghai_Tower_11_24_2008.pdf
Accessed 24th July 2011.

10 World Cup 2014 Goal-line Technology, The Rio Times:
http://riotimesonline.com/brazil-news/rio-sports/2014worldcup/world-cup-2014-goal-line-technology/
Accessed 22nd May 2011.

11 Swiss solar aircraft makes first international flight, PhysOrg:
http://www.physorg.com/news/2011-05-swiss-solar-aircraft-intl-flight.html
Accessed 22nd May 2011.

12 Panama Canal expansion project, Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_Canal_expansion_project
Accessed 24th May 2011.

13 $100 Genome, Technology Review:
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=tr10&id=22112
Accessed 19th April 2009.

14 PS4, Xbox 720 targeting 2014 release - Sources, CVG:
http://www.computerandvideogames.com/298917/news/ps4-xbox-720-targeting-2014-release-sources/
Accessed 26th April 2011.

15 2014 seems the most likely date, based on this article from 2006:
Robotic dog of war, CNN:
http://edition.cnn.com/2006/TECH/03/08/army.robot.dog/
"The more powerful, autonomous BigDog will be ready for battle within the next eight years."

Accessed 8th December 2009.

16 BigDog - The Most Advanced Rough-Terrain Robot on Earth, Boston Dynamics:
http://www.bostondynamics.com/robot_bigdog.html
Accessed 5th April 2010.

17 Exploration Flight Test-1 Animation, NASA:
http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/videogallery/index.html?media_id=119820481
Accessed 25th November 2011.

18 2014 test flight for Nasa's Orion spaceship, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15644238
Accessed 25th November 2011.

19 MAVEN (spacecraft), Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MAVEN_%28spacecraft%29
Accessed 24th April 2010.

20 Rosetta (spacecraft), Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rosetta_%28spacecraft%29
Accessed 18th July 2010.

21 Jacqui Smith's secret plan to carry on snooping, The Times:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article6211101.ece?token=null&offset=0&page=1
Accessed 4th May 2009.

22 Self-Checkout Terminals To Quadruple By 2014, Retail Solutions Online:
http://www.retailsolutionsonline.com/article.mvc/Self-Checkout-Terminals-To-Quadruple-By-2014-0001?VNETCOOKIE=NO
Accessed 19th October 2010.


 Home | Latest predictions | Blog | Forum | Links | Contact

future timeline facebook groupfuture timeline twitterfuture timeline youtube channel