future timeline technology humanity predictions 2050
future timeline technology predictions events humanity

 Home | Latest predictions | Blog | Forum | Links | Contact

future timeline facebook groupfuture timeline twitterfuture timeline youtube channel

21st century > 2010-2019 >

2016 timeline contents

2016 - China passes the US in PPP | Euro 2016 is held in France | Rio de Janeiro hosts the Olympic Games | Apple Inc. achieves a market capitalisation of one trillion dollars | US vehicles are becoming more fuel-efficient | India's first manned space flight | The first hotel in space | The Juno probe arrives at Jupiter | Agricultural robots are appearing on farms | Laser guns are in naval use | Holographic versatile disc (HVD) supersedes Blu-ray | New drug delivery methods for brain-related conditions | A pill to prevent sunburn | Completion of the i5K project | The Strait of Messina Bridge is completed | China completes the largest environmental cleanup in its history | The East Side Access subway extension opens in New York | United States Presidential Election | The Gotthard Base Tunnel is completed

 

2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019

2000-2009
| 2010-2019 | 2020-2029 | 2030-2039 | 2040-2049 | 2050-2059 | 2060-2069 | 2070-2079 | 2080-2089 | 2090-2099 >

 

 

 

2016

China passes the USA in PPP

Under Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), China's economy expanded from $11.2 trillion in 2011 to $19 trillion in 2016. Meanwhile, the size of the US economy rose from $15.2 trillion to $18.8 trillion. This has reduced America's share of the world output to 17.7%, its lowest in modern times. China's share has reached 18%, and is continuing to rise.*

 

us china ppp 2016 future trends economy purchasing power parity

 

 

Euro 2016 is held in France

The 2016 European Football Championship is hosted by France. This year, the tournament is expanded in size from 16 to 24 teams, following a plan unanimously agreed by senior officials of all 53 UEFA member nations. The format of the final tournament consists of six groups of four teams, followed by a round of 16, quarter-finals, semi-finals and final. The top two from each group will qualify in addition to the four best third-ranked sides, the same system as was applied in the World Cups from 1986 to 1994. This format generates a total of 51 games, compared with 31 prior to 2016, played over a period of 29 days.

 

euro 2016 timeline football sport france future

 

 

Rio de Janeiro hosts the Olympic Games

Rio becomes the first South American city to host the event.

 

2016 rio de janeiro summer olympic games

 

 

Apple Inc. achieves a market capitalisation of one trillion dollars

Since it entered the market in the late 1970s, Apple has continually supplied the consumer electronic industry with innovative and revolutionising products. From the original Macintosh, released in 1984, to the latest generations of handheld devices, Apple has been at the forefront of advancing the technology available to consumers.

Recently, the company's devices had begun to set the curve for new markets. The iPhone, released in 2007, triggered an explosion in touch-screen smartphones that spawned countless models by other companies, each more impressive than the last. In 2010, the iPad began the now-booming tablet market, acting as the middle-ground between smartphone and personal computer. Indeed, by the time competitors introduced their own models, Apple was already releasing its generation two tablet, the iPad 2.

This dominance over innovation in the industry, together with strong loyalty from its customers, greatly raised the value of the company. Despite lagging behind in the PC market, Apple's market cap surpassed that of Dell in 2006, its stock price having jumped from $6 to over $80 since 2003. By 2010, Apple's stock shares were valued at a record-high $300 dollars, with the company itself valued at almost $280 billion. Stock maintained an average growth rate of 59% up to 2011.

Despite the departure of founder and long-time CEO Steve Jobs, who was largely credited with Apple's success, the company continued a period of rapid growth, just at a slower rate.* Affecting this was the worsening global financial crisis. However, the demand for and quality of products pushed the company's value to sustained record high levels. By 2016, Apple reaches a market capitalisation of over $1 trillion,* becoming only the second to do so after the oil giant PetroChina briefly achieved it in 2007.*

Global economic depression has taken hold, finally putting the brakes on Apple's growth somewhat. The corporation remains at the top of the value list for several more quarters, however, and continues to produce innovative new products and technologies for years to come.

 

apple technology timeline 2015 2016 trends predictions apple campus one infinite loop
Apple Inc. headquarters complex, California. Credit: Coolcaeser

 

 

US vehicles are becoming more fuel-efficient

New standards enacted by the Obama administration have boosted the fuel efficiency of light duty vehicles (cars, crossovers, SUVs, vans and pickup trucks) to an average of 34 miles per gallon (MPG).*

This will reduce CO2 emissions by almost 1 billion metric tons and conserve 1.8 billion barrels of oil. In addition, the average buyer is saving around $3,000 over the lifetime of the vehicle - even after the higher initial purchase costs are taken into account.

These efficiency gains have come from smaller, more efficient engines with direct injection and/or turbochargers; more sophisticated automatic and dual-clutch transmissions (DCTs); hybrid-electric systems; clean diesel engines; tires with lower rolling resistance; more aerodynamic vehicles and lighter-weight materials.

The US still lags behind the rest of the world, however, and has lots of catching up to do. New vehicles in Europe and Japan, for instance, are reaching 50 MPG on average, and the majority now feature "start-stop" technology.

 

miles per gallon future graph fuel economy efficiency 2015 2016 2020

 

 

India's first manned space flight

India becomes only the fourth nation - after Russia, the US and China - to independently launch humans into space. The rocket used is a variant of the Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle Mark 2, operated by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO). This carries a largely autonomous 3-ton capsule, with a two-person crew on board. They remain in orbit around the Earth at 248 miles (400 km) altitude for seven days, before splashing down in the Bay of Bengal. The total cost of the project is about 124 billion rupees ($2.67 billion USD).*

 

india manned space mission 2016
Credit: GW_Simulations

 

 

The first hotel in space

Energiya - a Russian space group - launches the world's first space hotel, in a partnership with Orbital Technologies, a US hi-tech firm. Capable of housing up to seven people, it offers spectacular views of the Earth and includes a menu crafted by celebrity chefs. It can also function as a possible emergency refuge for astronauts from the ISS.

 

 

 

The Juno probe arrives at Jupiter

Launched in 2011, this becomes the second probe to orbit the gas giant, the first being Galileo in 1995. It is equipped with a camera, infrared and microwave radiometers, particle detectors, and an ultraviolet spectrometer. The mission objectives are:

  • Determine precisely how much water is in Jupiter's atmosphere, to help confirm which planet formation theory is correct (or if new theories are needed).
  • Look deep into Jupiter's atmosphere to gain a better understanding of its composition, cloud motions, temperature and other properties.
  • Map Jupiter's magnetic and gravity fields - revealing its deep structure, core mass and overall dynamics, helping to further explain the planet's origin.
  • Explore and study Jupiter's magnetosphere near the poles, especially the auroras – Jupiter's northern and southern lights – providing new insights into how the planet's enormous magnetic field affects its atmosphere.

Juno's mission concludes in October 2017, after a total of 33 orbits.* Like its predecessor, Galileo, it is crashed into the outer atmosphere of the gas giant, where it compresses and then melts as it falls.

 

juno probe 2016 timeline
Credit: NASA/JPL

 

 

Agricultural robots are appearing on farms

The first significant numbers of robots are appearing on farms.* These have been in development for over 20 years and are now cheap and sophisticated enough for mainstream use. New scanning and imaging technology has solved the primary problem of allowing robots to handle the varying shape of individual fruits and vegetables. The on-board computers are now able to differentiate between an object and its shadow and between green fruits, their leaves and vines. This is accomplished using an array of cameras, each picking up a different spectrum of light and creating a perfect picture of the obstacles and topography in the robot's surrounding environment.
*

Complex algorithms allow robotic workers to "learn" the longer they are on the job, so they become more adept as time goes on. This helps the computer to recognise a fruit that is partially covered by a leaf or similar obstruction, for example. The grasping tools themselves are based on human movements and are programmed to apply the correct pressure.

The advantages of this technology include much greater accuracy in spraying pesticides (cutting its use by 80%), uninterrupted output, and, as the technology improves, greater efficiency and speed. Initially, these robots are present on a small number of farms, often working alongside traditional human workers. However, as the years go by and the technology proliferates, more and more farms begin to adopt robotic workers. By the following decade, entire farms are becoming fully automated.

The increased output helps to alleviate the food shortages caused by rising global populations. Despite these gains, agricultural robots prove controversial. They exacerbate the ongoing unemployment crisis, with the potential of putting many thousands of workers out of a job. Mechanisation continues its unending progress, however, as another industry begins to be handed over to machines.*


agricultural robots future 2015 2016 technology timeline vision robotics corporation
Credit: Vision Robotics Corporation

 

 

Laser guns are in naval use

First trialled in 2010, laser weapons are now in use by a number of warships as part of their short-range defence. "Solid state" 32-megawatt beams of directed energy can be fired to a distance of more than two miles, hitting a target moving at over 300mph. This exceptionally accurate system can protect against anti-ship missiles, as well as shooting down drones and other flying vehicles.*

 

 

 

Holographic Versatile Disc (HVD) supersedes Blu-Ray

These ultra-high density discs are capable of holding 1Tb of data - equivalent to over 200 DVDs. They work by analysing micro-holograms in 3D, rather than just markings on the surface. This allows data to be far more densely packed than conventional optical technology.

The price of storage per gigabyte is plummeting - from around $1 per gigabyte in 2006, to less than 10 cents now. This is an example of the trend of exponential progress (rather than linear) seen in forms of information technology.

HVD itself is in danger of becoming obsolete, before it has even been properly established. Solid state flash drives are increasingly being used for digital transfer, some with even higher capacities, along with read and write speeds faster than any optical disc. The new SDXC card format specification has already reached the 2TB mark.

2016 holographic versatile disc disk replaces bluray blu-ray

 

 

New drug delivery methods for brain-related conditions

The main issue preventing effective treatments of many brain disorders had for years been the blood-brain barrier. This helps to protect the brain from dangerous bacteria, but it also blocks drugs from entering, prohibiting effective medical treatments. In 2011, however, a major breakthrough was made through controlled tests on mice. It was found that the body's own exosomes – tiny vesicles just 30-90 nanometres across, which are naturally used to carry material between cells – could be fused with genetic material and sent directly into the brain. A piece of genetic code, siRNA, was made to bypass the blood-brain barrier. Inside, the genetically modified exosomes succeeded in shutting off a gene, BACE1, which is involved in Alzheimer's disease.

This development opened the door to numerous advances in the treatment of brain-related conditions. It was also determined that the method could be used in other parts of the body, such as muscles, and could be specialised for an individual patient. Clinical trials begin this year, in which the method proves effective in humans. In the 2020s, radical new treatments for Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, brain tumours and other serious neurological conditions begin to appear on the market.*

 

exosomes drug delivery cancer 2011 2015 2016

 

 

A pill to prevent sunburn

In 2011, British researchers who analysed coral samples from the Great Barrier Reef made a remarkable discovery. Algae living within the coral were found to produce a special compound that was transported to the coral, then modified to protect both the algae and the coral from the sun's ultraviolet (UV) rays. Not only that, but fish feeding on the coral were also found to benefit, so it was clearly passed up the food chain.

After establishing how this compound was created and passed on, it was biosynthetically developed in a laboratory, creating a sunscreen for human use. Following tests conducted on skin samples, this is now available in tablet form and provides sun protection for the whole body.

Further research on this compound is underway, as it has the potential to create sun-tolerant plants that could boost world food supplies. Genetically engineering food crops to use the coral's biochemical pathways could make it possible to grow temperate crops, such as wheat and potatoes, at high yields in the tropics.*

 

pill to prevent sunburn

 

 

Completion of the i5K project

i5K is a five year project to sequence the genomes of 5,000 insect and related arthropod species.* It aims to identify the vulnerable regions of insect DNA, which could then be targeted with pesticides and other treatments. This could reduce the $50 billion spent globally each year to control the many diseases transmitted by insects.

It could also aid the search for suitable compounds for use as pesticides: ones that kill a targeted pest, but leave the beneficial pollinating insects unharmed. This may help in reversing colony collapse disorder, for example, which has ravaged bee populations for decades. On current trends, honeybees had been expected to go extinct by 2035 - potentially resulting in global famine.* The project could also be useful in combatting malaria, one of the world's most common infectious diseases and responsible for 2.2% of all deaths globally.

The costs of genome sequencing have fallen exponentially in recent years - making it feasible to cheaply sequence huge numbers of animals and plants.*

 

5000 insect genomes i5k Completion of the 5000 Insect and Other Arthropod Genome Initiative

 

 

The Strait of Messina Bridge is completed

The world's largest suspension bridge - the Strait of Messina Bridge - is completed this year, connecting Sicily with mainland Italy for the first time.* Some 3.3 km in length and 60m wide, the bridge is supported by two 382m pillars, higher than the Empire State Building in New York. There are two motorway lanes and one emergency lane in each direction catering for 6,000 vehicles per hour, a two-track railway for up to 200 trains a day and two independent lanes for service traffic and pedestrians.

 

The Strait of Messina Bridge 2010 2016 Sicily Italy future transport suspension bridge
Credit: NASA

 

 

China completes the largest environmental cleanup in its history

The rapid growth of China in recent decades led to some truly appalling environmental conditions in the country, particularly the developing urban areas. Since 2006, China had been the world's largest producer of CO2, a result of coal power supplying 70% of the country's energy. Smog became a major problem in cities, with lung disease affecting many millions of their inhabitants. By 2011, 16 of the world's 20 most polluted cities were located in China, with Linfen, Shanxi Province the most polluted overall.* Numerous rivers and aquifers were being endangered.*

To rectify these conditions, the Chinese government in 2011 began an ambitious Five Year Plan to stem the flow of pollutants and clean up the damage done.* A tax was applied to heavy polluters, based on the output of hazardous chemicals and sewage. The goal was to fix the situation caused by the previously unregulated industrial growth, which had first attracted the polluters to the country. The resultant revenue primarily went towards restoring damaged environments. Many non-profit groups aided in the cleanup during this time. New regulations were also introduced, putting a cap on energy use. Targets were set to lower carbon emissions significantly. This went along with China's long term goal of green energy dominance.

Though some progress has been made over this five year period, the entrenchment of dirty industry and the explosive growth of the country makes it very difficult to turn the environmental situation around. It will take decades of further work before China has transitioned to a truly green economy.

 

china pollution future climate environment

 

 

The East Side Access subway extension opens in New York

This major project connects Grand Central Station in Manhattan to the Long Island Rail Road, via underground tunnels. The idea for the East Side Access dates back to the sixties, but the New York fiscal crisis in 1970 halted work for several years. The newly opened route begins underneath the Sunnyside Rail Yard in Queens and connects to the 63rd Street Tunnel. On the Manhattan side of the project, a series of new tunnels are built which connect from the 63rd Street Tunnel to a new platform under Grand Central Station.

The new route cuts journey times by up to 40 minutes a day for customers who previously travelled to Penn Station and then took a subway, bus or walk to the East Side. It greatly eases traffic congestion, as it becomes the shortest and most direct route between Long Island and East Midtown Manhattan. The East Side Access reduces major burdens on the metropolitan area, namely overcrowding and over capacity at Penn Station. Overall, trains become more reliable in the area and public transportation is a more realistic option for travellers.*

 

 

US presidential election

The 58th US presidential election is held in November 2016. This takes place amidst unprecedented challenges - both domestically and abroad - as the global depression worsens.

 

US presidential election 2016

 

 

The Gotthard Base Tunnel is completed

After 20 years of construction, the first trains are now running through the Gotthard Base Tunnel in Switzerland.* With a route length of over 57 km (35 mi) and a total of 152 km (94 mi) of tunnels, shafts and passages, it is the world's longest rail tunnel.

Running directly through the Alps mountain range - at depths of up to 2500m - it cuts the 3.5-hour travel time from Zürich to Milan by an hour, while the journey from Zürich to Lugano is reduced to 1 hour 40 min. Passenger trains operate as fast as 250 km/h (155 mph) through the new tunnels.

 

gotthard base tunnel diagram map 2017 switzerland future transport megaproject

 

 

 

 

References

1 World Economic Outlook: April 2011, International Monetary Fund (IMF):
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2011/01/pdf/text.pdf
Accessed 26th April 2011.

2 Apple VARs adjust to Jobs-less future, TechTarget:
http://searchitchannel.techtarget.com/news/2240074358/Apple-VARs-adjust-to-Jobs-less-future
Accessed 3rd September 2011.

3 "If the average 59% annual growth rate of Apple’s stock continues, the company could be worth $1 trillion in as little as three years. That’s the optimistic case. If you use the analysts more conservative 23% price target for 2011 and apply that going into the future, then Apple will hit $1 trillion in six years."
See Can Apple reach $1 trillion in market value? It's possible, USA Today:
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/techinvestor/2011-04-13-can-apple-hit-trillion-market-value.htm
Accessed 3rd September 2011.

4 PetroChina tops $1 trillion market cap in debut, MarketWatch:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/petrochina-soars-to-1-trillion-market-cap-in-debut
Accessed 3rd September 2011.

5 Obama and EPA Launch 34.1-MPG Fuel-Economy Rules for 2016, Green Car Reports:
http://www.greencarreports.com/blog/1043951_obama-and-epa-launch-34-1-mpg-fuel-economy-rules-for-2016
Accessed 8th April 2010.

6 India announces first manned space mission, BBC:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/south_asia/8483787.stm
Accessed 29th August 2011.

7 Juno - Unlocking Jupiter's Mysteries, NASA:
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/juno/main/index.html
Accessed 2nd September 2011.

8 "The technology is ready, and now we can start seeing this penetrating into the market," said Yael Edan, an engineer and robotics researcher at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev in Israel. "I would say there will definitely be robots out there in five years."
See Robots on the Farm, Discovery News:
http://news.discovery.com/tech/robots-farming-agriculture-110412.html
Accessed 4th September 2011.

9 Orange Harvesting, Vision Robotics Corporation:
http://visionrobotics.com/vrc/index.php?option=com_zoom&Itemid=1&catid=4
Accessed 4th September 2011.

10 Laser used to shoot down planes, Telegraph.co.uk:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/7898710/Laser-used-to-shoot-down-planes.html
Accessed 30th July 2010.

11 "The team expect to begin trials in human patients within five years."
See Breakthrough in delivering drugs to the brain, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-12776222
Accessed 4th September 2011.

12 "There would have to be a lot of toxicology tests done first, but I imagine a sunscreen tablet might be developed in five years or so. Nothing like it exists at the moment."
See Sunscreen pill could be available within five years, scientists say, The Guardian:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/aug/31/sunscreen-pill-coral-five-years
Accessed 31st August 2011.

13 i5K Insect and other Arthropod Genome Sequencing Initiative:
http://arthropodgenomes.org/wiki/i5K
Accessed 18th June 2011.

14 Extract from A World Without Bees, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/newsnight/fromthewebteam/2008/08/extract_from_a_world_without_b.html
Accessed 18th June 2011.

15 DNA Sequencing Costs, National Human Genome Research Institute:
http://www.genome.gov/sequencingcosts/
Accessed 18th June 2011.

16 Strait of Messina Bridge, Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strait_of_Messina_Bridge
Accessed 1st October 2010.

17 The World's Most Polluted Places, TIME:
http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/article/0,28804,1661031_1661028_1661016,00.html
Accessed 4th September 2011.

18 Amazing Pictures, Pollution in China, China Hush:
http://www.chinahush.com/2009/10/21/amazing-pictures-pollution-in-china/
Accessed 4th September 2011.

19 China to impose green tax on heavy polluters, The Guardian:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/feb/04/china-green-tax-polluters?CMP=twt_gu
Accessed 4th September 2011.

20 MTA's Official East Side Access Project Page:
http://www.mta.info/capital/future/east-side-access.php
Accessed 30th August 2011.

21 Gotthard Base Tunnel to be operational from 2016, Alp Transit:
http://www.alptransit.ch/en/media/press-releases/detail-en/article/2011/08/22/gotthard-basistunnel-soll-2016-in-betrieb-gehen/
Accessed 17th September 2011.


 Home | Latest predictions | Blog | Forum | Links | Contact

future timeline facebook groupfuture timeline twitterfuture timeline youtube channel