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2024 timeline contents

2024 - The biggest refugee crisis in world history | Gay marriage is legal in every US state | African elephants are going extinct in the wild | A cure for the common cold is available for general public use | Completion of the Square Kilometre Array | Petabyte storage devices are available | The first probe to fly into the Sun's outer atmosphere

 

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2024

The biggest refugee crisis in world history

Torrential flooding in southeast Asia - produced by a combination of rising sea levels, melting glaciers and extreme weather events - is creating the biggest refugee crisis in world history. Bangladesh and neighbouring regions are seeing literally tens of millions of men, women and children displaced from their homes.*

This unfolding horror is the worst environmental crisis of the 21st century so far. Although various different countries are affected, the disaster is centred on Bangladesh with its high population (over 150m) and high density, situated in the low-lying Ganges River delta. With most of the country just a few metres above sea level - and with a flat topography - storm surges are flooding vast areas of land with virtually no hope of recovery. As well as the physical damage to infrastructure, salt in the ground means that fields up to 40km from the new coastline are rendered useless for growing crops.*

Millions are drowned, while others die in the subsequent looting and chaos that sweeps the nation. With so many refugees attempting to flee the region, conflicts begin to erupt along the borders with India and Burma. The sheer scale of this catastrophe makes it difficult to coordinate relief efforts, and relatively speaking, only token assistance can be offered by the UN.

 

bangladesh future flooding sea level climate change global warming 2020 2025
Credit: NASA

 

 

Gay marriage is legal in every US state

The movement to obtain marriage rights and benefits for same-sex couples in the USA began in the early 1970s. The issue became even more prominent in the 1990s, with Congress' passing of the Defense of Marriage Act.

In the early 21st century, public support grew considerably. By 2011, same-sex marriages had been granted by five of the 50 states, the federal district, and one Indian tribe. By 2015, the number of Americans opposing gay marriage was being exceeded by those in support.*

This progress continued over the next decade, with a growing majority of states declaring same-sex marriage bans to be unconstitutional. By the 2020s, even the southern "Bible Belt" states had begun to overturn the ban, Mississippi becoming the last to do so.*

 

gay marriage trends graph legalised 2020 2025 2020s

 

 

African elephants are going extinct in the wild

Despite efforts to curtail the ivory trade, vast numbers of elephants continued to be poached throughout Africa. Their population - which stood at 600,000 in 2009 - declined by nearly 40,000 each year.* They are now on the brink of extinction, with no reported sightings in the wild. Zoos and parks are working to maintain a viable population for future rewilding.

 

african elephants extinction threat 2020 2024 2025 future
© Paul Hampton | Dreamstime.com

 

 

A cure for the common cold is available for general public use

It was previously believed that antibodies – produced by the immune system – could only attack a virus from outside the cell, and that once a cell was infected by a virus it was doomed to die.

In 2010, however, scientists made a revolutionary discovery. It was found that certain antibodies could "piggyback" on an invading virus as it entered the cell. Once inside, they would trigger a protein called TRIM21, pulling the virus into a disposal system and eliminating it. Artificially boosting the amount of TRIM21 was shown to help this process.

What had once seemed impossible - a cure for the common cold - was edging towards a reality. Further research, including animal tests, led to the first trials on humans in the mid-2010s.

Though successful in the laboratory, this drug faced the lobbying efforts of pharmaceuticals, concerned at their sudden loss of profitability. Nevertheless, it eventually became available to the public.

The treatment can be taken in inhaler form and cures colds in under two hours. Workplace absences are decreased substantially as a result. A number of other viruses responsible for a range of diseases can also be targeted by this new approach. They include norovirus, which causes winter vomiting, and rotavirus, which results in severe diarrhea and kills thousands of children in developing countries.*

 

cure for the common cold 2020 2025 future medical trim21 virus
© Sebastian Kaulitzki | Dreamstime.com

 

 

Completion of the Square Kilometre Array

Our view of the universe is greatly expanded with the completion of a major new observatory.* This radio telescope has a total collecting area of approximately one kilometre. It operates over a wide range of frequencies and its size makes it 50 times more sensitive than any other radio instrument.

By utilising advanced processing technology, it can survey the sky more than 10,000 times faster than ever before. With stations extending to a distance of 3,000 km from a concentrated central core, it continues radio astronomy's tradition of providing the highest resolution images in all of astronomy.

 

Click to enlarge

square kilometre array 2020 2024 2025 astronomy telescope
Image used with permission from Jo Bowler, SKA Program Development Office, Jodrell Bank Centre for Astrophysics.

 

 

Petabyte storage devices are available

Data storage devices are continuing to grow exponentially, with capacities doubling every year. Nanotechnology is enabling truly vast quantities of information to be stored. A petabyte is 1000 terabytes, or one million gigabytes. Secure digital and microSD cards have disappeared by now, replaced by an even smaller form-factor.

 

petabyte storage future exponential data growth technology 2020 2025

 

 

The first probe to fly into the Sun's outer atmosphere

Solar Probe Plus is a historic mission, flying into the Sun's outer atmosphere (corona) for the first time. This probe travels to within 5.9 million km (3.6 million miles) of the Sun's surface - just four times the length of its diameter.

At such close range, a shield is needed at the front of the spacecraft. This is made of reinforced carbon-carbon composite, able to withstand temperatures of 2000°C. At closest approach, Solar Probe Plus hurtles around the Sun at approximately 450,000 miles per hour; fast enough to get from Philadelphia to Washington in one second.

The mission's primary scientific goals are:

To determine the structure and dynamics of the magnetic fields at the sources of solar wind.
To trace the flow of energy that heats the corona and accelerates the solar wind.
To determine what mechanisms accelerate and transport energetic particles.
To explore dusty plasma near the sun and its influence on solar wind and energetic particle formation.

Coming closer to the Sun than any previous spacecraft, Solar Probe Plus employs a combination of in situ measurements and 3D imaging to revolutionise our knowledge of the physics, origin and evolution of the solar wind.*

 

solar probe plus nasa mission sun corona atmosphere
Credit: NASA

 

 

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References

1 Such a disaster could emerge "in the next ten to 15 years", according to Peter Schwartz, chairman of Global Business Network.
See Wired (UK launch issue - May 2009):
http://www.wired.co.uk
Accessed 8th April 2009.

2 Flooded future looms for Bangladesh, BBC News:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4056755.stm
Accessed 8th April 2009.

3 Automated Poll Produces Starkly Different Results on Gay Marriage Question, FiveThirtyEight:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/08/automated-poll-produces-starkly.html
Accessed 6th February 2011.

4 Hansen: It won't be easy to kill same-sex marriage, DesMoinesRegister:
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20110203/NEWS03/102030349/Hansen-It-won-t-be-easy-to-kill-same-sex-marriage
Accessed 6th February 2011.

5 African elephants could be extinct in 15 years, The Telegraph:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/wildlife/6364726/African-elephants-could-be-extinct-in-15-years.html
Accessed 19th October 2009.

6 A cure for the common cold may finally be achieved as a result of a remarkable discovery in a Cambridge laboratory, The Independent:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/a-cure-for-the-common-cold-may-finally-be-achieved-as-a-result-of-a-remarkable-discovery-in-a-cambridge-laboratory-2122607.html
Accessed 2nd November 2010.

7 SKA - Square Kilometre Array, skatelescope.org:
http://www.skatelescope.org
Accessed 8th June 2009.

8 Solar Probe Plus: A NASA mission to touch the Sun, John Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory:
http://solarprobe.jhuapl.edu/
Accessed 6th September 2010.

 

 
 
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