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2013 timeline contents

2013 - Solar flares are disrupting Earth's magnetosphere | China overtakes the USA in scientific research | The Gaia mission is launched | 3D technologies are widespread | The first products to use memristor technology are becoming available | Full-body scanners are mandatory in US airports | Direct high-speed rail from London to Frankfurt and Amsterdam | The expansion of the Port of Rotterdam is completed, tripling its capacity | 14nm chips enter mass production | The first test launch of the Falcon Heavy | India launches its second lunar exploration mission

 

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2013

Solar flares are disrupting Earth's magnetosphere

The Sun reaches its solar maximum this year - the period of greatest activity in its 11-year solar cycle. Because of the unusually low level of activity in recent years, this has caused a sudden build up of energy, with "solar storms" hitting the Earth's magnetosphere. These are powerful enough to disrupt electronic systems on the ground.

Satellites, air travel, car navigations, the banking system, hospital equipment, computers and many other machines are affected during these storms. There are widespread blackouts.*

 

2013 solar storms flares sun cycle activity
Credit: NASA

 

 

China overtakes the USA in scientific research

In terms of scientific output, China had been closing the gap between it and the developed world for several years. Thousands of new research papers were being published each year at an accelerating rate, while millions more students were entering universities as the country became more developed. At the same time, the United States had seen a steep drop in its own scientific and technological research. In 2004, China passed the United Kingdom, becoming second in terms of academic studies. The gap finally closes in 2013, as even the USA falls behind China.*

 

2013 technology trends future timeline predictions china usa science overtakes

 

 

The Gaia mission is launched

While the naked human eye can see only a few thousand stars on a clear night, Gaia will map over a billion - approximately 1 percent of all stars within our own Milky Way galaxy - over the course of its five-year mission beginning in 2013. It will chart their brightness and spectral characteristics, as well as their positions and motions, forming a highly detailed three-dimensional map.*

 

 

 

3D technologies are widespread

3D technology is now widespread across a range of communication and entertainment platforms. It has become a mainstream element of cinema, TV, Internet, video games and even mobile. This technology provides users with a whole new level of immersion, interaction and realism.

James Cameron's Avatar, released in 2009, was a major breakthrough in terms of developing this format and raising awareness of its potential.

In 2010, new 3D TV channels were introduced and these could even be viewed without 3D glasses.* This effect was achieved via multiple projectors behind the screen, combined with a lens array creating parallax effects from any direction. Among the TV events during this time was the first ever FIFA World Cup to be screened in 3D.

Compatibility was soon incorporated into a range of consumer products including Blu-ray recorders, games consoles and personal computers. By 2013, the technology has become widespread in homes in developed countries.*

 

3d technologies future explained
© Philcold | Dreamstime.com

 

 

The first products to use memristor technology are becoming available

First theorised in 1971, memristors were described as the "missing link" in electric circuitry. As a fourth fundamental circuit element, they would have properties unachievable in the other elements (resistors, inductors, capacitors).

After 40 years of research and development, they are now appearing in consumer products.* Unlike conventional computer memory - which stores data with electronic on and off switches - memristors work at the atomic level. These nanoscale devices have a variable resistance, able to "remember" their resistance when power is off.

This makes them phenomenally faster, denser and more energy efficient than previous electronics. Mobile phones and countless other gadgets can now benefit from a vastly improved battery life, speed and memory capacity. Desktop computers and laptops, meanwhile, can be booted-up almost instantly. Because of their tiny size, memristors can also be used as microscopic sensors, gathering a wide range of data from their surroundings.*

Another benefit of memristors is their reconfigurability. They can be similar in behaviour to the synapses in brains. This offers the potential to create electronics more capable of adapting to different situations and exhibiting a form of learning, which may advance efforts in artificial intelligence. Further into the future, it may be possible to build human brain-like computers.*

 

memristors technology applications 2013 future
Credit: HP Labs

 

 

Full-body scanners are mandatory in US airports

In the US, a bill called the S.A.F.E.R. A.I.R. Act has been passed, making full-body scanners mandatory in airports. These devices create a nude image of a person's body through their clothes, in order to look for hidden objects without physically removing their clothes or making physical contact. The use of these machines is controversial, raising privacy issues, as well as concerns over the use of backscatter X-rays.*

 

full body scanners technology 2013 tsa

 

 

Direct high-speed rail from London to Frankfurt and Amsterdam

Two of Europe's biggest financial centres - London and Frankfurt - are now connected by a high-speed rail link. Trains running at 320 kph (200 mph) provide a journey time of under five hours. Combined with cheaper fares and better onboard web access, this offers a genuine alternative to air travel. The service also runs to Brussels, Cologne, Rotterdam and Amsterdam.*

 

london frankfurt train high speed rail route 2013 amsterdam future transport
© Will Fox

 

 

Expansion of the Port of Rotterdam is completed, tripling its capacity

The Port of Rotterdam is the largest port in the Western Hemisphere, and one of the busiest in the world. Completed this year is the ambitious Maasvlakte 2, the largest land reclamation project in Europe and one of the single largest earth-moving projects in history. Approximately 2000 hectares are reclaimed. With its completion, container capacity is tripled - providing a significant boost to the Dutch economy.*

 

maasvlakte 2 2013 future port of rotterdam expansion netherlands holland timeline
Credit: Havenbedrijf Rotterdam N.V., Projectorganisatie Maasvlakte 2.

 

 

14 nanometre chips enter mass production

The next generation of microprocessor technology is released by Intel, with transistors now based on a 14nm manufacturing process.* For comparison, a carbon atom is 0.34nm wide.* The 4GHz barrier in stock CPU is finally being passed, thanks to the performance and energy efficiency of these new chips.

 

transistor size timeline intel computer chips future trend roadmap 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 moores law 22nm 16nm 14nm 11nm 10nm

 

 

The first test launch of the Falcon Heavy

The Falcon Heavy - the most powerful rocket since the Saturn V - has its first demonstration flight this year. It is designed to lift satellites or spacecraft into orbit weighing more than 53 tons, or 117,000 pounds - over twice the capacity of the Space Shuttle and Delta IV Heavy launcher. At full power, it has thrust equivalent to fifteen 747's.

The rocket is being developed by SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corporation), one of two private companies that NASA has contracted to transport cargo to the International Space Station.

SpaceX's goals include simultaneously lowering the price of orbital spaceflight and improving reliability, both by a factor of ten, whilst creating the first fully reusable orbital launch vehicle. Longer term, the company intends to design an even more powerful rocket, known as a "super heavy-lift" vehicle. This would have about three times the power of a Falcon Heavy, or about 50 percent more than the Saturn V - enough to carry people to Mars.*

 

falcon heavy mars 2013 future space
Credit: SpaceX

 

 

India launches its second lunar exploration mission

Chandrayaan-2 becomes the second lunar probe to be sent by India's space agency. It includes an orbiter as well as two rovers: one lander/rover built by Russia, and a second smaller rover built by India. The wheeled rovers will move on the surface, picking up soil or rock samples for on-site chemical analysis. The data will be sent to Earth through the Chandrayaan-2 orbiter. The team is headed by Dr. Mylswamy Annadurai, who was behind the success of the previous mission (Chandrayaan-1).

 

 

 

 

References

1 Nasa's 2013 solar flare warning: how much do we need to worry?, The Telegraph:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/culture/tomchivers/100008500/nasas-2013-solar-flare-warning-how-much-do-we-need-to-worry/
Accessed 16th June 2010.

2 China 'to overtake US on science' in two years, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12885271
Accessed 14th July 2011.

3 Gaia (spacecraft), Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaia_mission
Accessed 12th June 2011.

4 Toshiba show 3DTV without glasses, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-11467352
Accessed 12th June 2011.

5 Cinema leads the way in opening up 3D - but TV, games and mobile are not far behind, FoxMedia.co.uk:
http://www.foxmedia.co.uk/intnws5.htm
Accessed 20th December 2009.

6 Making computer memory work like the human brain, CNN:
http://edition.cnn.com/2010/TECH/innovation/08/31/hp.memristor/index.html#fbid=uuffNgFGxXJ&wom=false
Accessed 1st September 2010.

7 THE MEMRISTOR - INCREDIBLE!, YouTube:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZAHG3COYYA
Accessed 1st September 2010.

8 Memristors can maybe learn like synapses, The Register:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/04/16/memristor_cat/
Accessed 1st September 2010.

9 Senate Introduces SAFER AIR Act That Makes Airport Body Scanners Required by 2013 and I'm Not Happy, SeattlePI:
http://blog.seattlepi.com/airlinereporter/archives/214522.asp
Accessed 21st November 2010.

10 High-speed rail link for London, Frankfurt, CNN:
http://edition.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/europe/10/19/train.london.deutsche.bahn/index.html?hpt=T2
Accessed 30th October 2010.

11 Port of Rotterdam Expansion, Science Channel:
http://science.discovery.com/tv/build-bigger/projects/port-of-rotterdam/port-of-rotterdam.html
Accessed 24th May 2011.

12 Intel Announces first 22nm 3D Tri-Gate Transistors, Shipping in 2H 2011, AnandTech:
http://www.anandtech.com/print/4313/intel-announces-first-22nm-3d-trigate-transistors-shipping-in-2h-2011
Accessed 15th May 2011.

13 Cell Size and Scale, University of Utah
(drag the slider from left to right to zoom in):
http://learn.genetics.utah.edu/content/begin/cells/scale/
Accessed 15th May 2011.

14 Huge Private Rocket Could Send Astronauts to the Moon or Mars, Space.com:
http://www.space.com/11311-spacex-huge-private-rocket-moon-mars.html
Accessed 26th April 2011.


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